Free Trial

Tsy Borrowing Est's Larger Than Expected

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures remain in positive territory, well off mid-session highs after the Tsy anncd larger than expected Q3 issuance of $1.007 trillion in privately-held net marketable debt in the third quarter and an additional USD852 billion in the fourth quarter.
  • Treasury's third quarter estimate is USD274 billion more than previously announced in May, primarily due to a low cash balance at the start of the quarter. Adjusted for changing cash balance levels, third quarter borrowing is expected to be the greatest quarterly borrowing on record.
  • Reminder, the Treasury's quarterly refunding, which is expected to show coupon increases, will be released at 8:30 a.m. August 2.
  • Meanwhile, lending standards saw another quarter of tightening across the board through Q2, for the most part either at a accelerated pace than was the case with the April release or showing a similar trend.
  • Earlier data: The Chicago Business Barometerâ„¢, produced with MNI, ticked up by 1.3 points to 42.8 in July, the second consecutive monthly increase. However, with the exception of Prices Paid, all of the sub-indices remain in contractive territory (sub-50).
  • Focus turns to ISMs on Tue (Mfg 46.98 est, prices paid 44.0 est), ADP on Wednesday (+188k est vs. 497k prior), and July employment data next Friday, current estimate of +200k job gains vs. +209k in June.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.