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Tsy Futures/Options Round-Up

US TSYS
Bonds leading steady march higher late Thu, highs for the wk outpacing Wed amid combination of short covering and new buying with futures back to early Jan 6 levels.
  • Recent 30YY session low at 2.0499% after almost topping 2.10 earlier, 10YY 1.7076% low.
  • Are markets fading hawkish Fed-speak? Perhaps that's what's contributing to the steady round of buying as more Fed officials see as many as four 25bp hikes this year.
  • Then again, it could be straight-up risk-off as equities trade weaker (ESH2 -40.25 at 4676.0; Nasdaq below 100DMA at 14917.0 -271.) with IT (-1.85%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.25%) and Health Care (-1.04%) sectors underperforming.
  • Eurodollar/Treasury option trade remains mixed, or less one-way than early week put buying with some accts unwinding downside insurance and buying calls. That said, 1StD put skews outpacing calls, implieds only mildly softer.
  • Of note, January Eurodollar options expire Friday, February Treasury options expire next week Friday.
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