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US TSYS SUMMARY: Tsy traded higher by the bell with volume (TYU 1.7M), curves
flatter; disconnect continues between the 10YY as it remains lower (-.0111,
2.9617) and US$/YEN remains higher (+.80, 111.84); US PCE, US Pers Inc, Pers
Spend, ECI all coming in line with expectations suggesting inf. is steady. MNI/
Chicago PMI much stronger than exp (65.5 JULY vs 62 Expected, 64.1 JUNE); US
Cons Conf stronger than exp (127.4 JULY vs 126 Exp); DXY stronger (+.144,
94.492); West Texas Crude (WTI -1.39, 68.74); Gold stronger (XAU +3.85, 1225.27)
-Headline out this morning "U.S., CHINA SAID TO SEEK RESTART OF TALKS TO DEFUSE
TRADE WAR"-BN led to risk on price action.
-Decent volume by midday belies rather muted trade since the open. Carry-over
support on narrow range, two-way flow after initial jump bid following BoJ
steady rate annc overnight. Deal-tied flow in the mix, Block buying Eurodollar
2Y bundles, Red packs, fast$ steepener unwinds, gamma hedging, position squaring
ahead Wed's FOMC (no rate change exp) and Fri's NFP (whisper +204k). Tsy
cash/ylds: 2Y 99-29 (2.669%), 5Y 99-18.75 (2.769%), 10Y 99-08 (2.962%), 30Y