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Tsys Futures Continue Sell-Off, AU CPI Beats,10Y JGB At 2011 Levels

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures have continue to sell off as the Wednesday session has progressed, TU is ( - 01) at 101-12.625, support holds at 101-09.875, while TY is (- 05) at 108-04+ clearing support at 108-06, next support is may 2nd lows of 107-25.
  • Volumes: TU 70k, FV 74k & TY 130k
  • Cash treasury curve is flatter today, the 2Y +1.5bps to 4.992%, while the 10Y +1bp at 4.56%, the 2y10y is +1.805 at -41.267, we are now about 8bps off recent lows.
  • Across Local Markets: ACGBs are 11-14bps higher, curve is steeper, NZGBs are 5-7.5bps higher, curve steeper, JGBs are 1-5bps higher curve is mixed, with the 10Y yield +4.8bps higher and now at 1.067%
  • Fed Funds implied rates have lifted to show just 19bp of cumulative cuts priced for Nov and 32bp for Dec.
  • Looking ahead; MBA Mortgage Applications, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index & the Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book, while there will be continued supply with a $44b 7yr auction.
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