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Tsys Futures Little Changed Ahead Of US CPI Later

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures saw some initial weakness in the first half of the session, although have since recovered to now trade little changed and at session's best levels.
  • TUU4 is + 00⅛ at 103-12¾, while TYU4 was + 01+ at 113-21 and sits comfortably below initial resistance of 114-03 (Aug 6 highs), while support rests at 112-15 (20-day EMA)
  • Earlier there was block buying in SOFR futures, we have since ticked a touch higher.
  • RBNZ has cut rates by 25bps, while Japan's Prime Minister has announced that he will not be seeking re-election, neither of these events have had any impacts on us tsys so far.
  • The tsy curve is little changed today with yields flat to 1bps higher, the 2yr is +0.8bps at 3.937%, while the 10yr is +0.2bp at 3.845%
  • MNI US CPI Preview: Large Miss Needed For Fed To Guide 50bp Cuts - (See link)
  • Focus will be all on CPI data later today while we also have MBA Mortgage Applications & $75B 42D CMB Tsy bill auction.
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