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Tsys Futures Steady Ahead Of US ISM Data Later

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures are little changed today, although off session lows. Volumes have been on the low side today, while earlier we did see a FV/WN block steepener trade.
  • Tsys futures are trading below Friday's levels although slightly higher than the morning's opening levels with TUZ4 is -0-00⅛ at 103-24⅜ while TYZ4 is +0-02 at 113-17
  • The 2yr yield is trading +1.3bps at 3.929%, while the 10yr is trading +1bps at 3.913%, with the 2s10s -0.74 at -1.796.
  • August ISM Mfg is expected to rebound a touch to 47.5 according to BBG consensus, up from 45.8 in July.
  • Projected rate cut pricing through year end has cooled 1bps vs. early Friday levels: Sep'24 cumulative -32.7bp (-33.0bp), Nov'24 cumulative -65.3bp (-65.7bp), Dec'24 -98.9bp (-100.4bp)
  • Today, S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI following by Construction Spending & ISM Manufacturing
  • We also have Treasury to auction $76 billion 3-month bills, $70 billion 6-month bills, $46 billion 1-year bills & $65 billion 42-day bills
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  • Treasury futures are little changed today, although off session lows. Volumes have been on the low side today, while earlier we did see a FV/WN block steepener trade.
  • Tsys futures are trading below Friday's levels although slightly higher than the morning's opening levels with TUZ4 is -0-00⅛ at 103-24⅜ while TYZ4 is +0-02 at 113-17
  • The 2yr yield is trading +1.3bps at 3.929%, while the 10yr is trading +1bps at 3.913%, with the 2s10s -0.74 at -1.796.
  • August ISM Mfg is expected to rebound a touch to 47.5 according to BBG consensus, up from 45.8 in July.
  • Projected rate cut pricing through year end has cooled 1bps vs. early Friday levels: Sep'24 cumulative -32.7bp (-33.0bp), Nov'24 cumulative -65.3bp (-65.7bp), Dec'24 -98.9bp (-100.4bp)
  • Today, S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI following by Construction Spending & ISM Manufacturing
  • We also have Treasury to auction $76 billion 3-month bills, $70 billion 6-month bills, $46 billion 1-year bills & $65 billion 42-day bills