Free Trial

Tsys weaker but well off lows.......>

US TSYS SUMMARY
US TSYS SUMMARY: Tsys weaker but well off lows post ADP (+178k; Apr rev'n +163).
Tsys had reversed appr two-thirds Tue's safe-haven rally as Italy remains focus,
decent Italian BTP/CCTEU auction performance (and higher flash inflation data
from German regions and Spain) helped narrow peripherals (Italy 10Y vs. Bunds
-40.1, Spain -18.9. Portugal -23.9, Greece -29.2).
- USD index giving back (DXY -0.626, 94.194; US$ vs. Yen +0.12, 108.89); stocks
rebound (emini +34.5, 2726.75); gold firmer (XAU +3.20, 1302.06); West Texas
crude bounce (WTI +1.57 to 68.30). 
- Trade off Tue's heavy pace w/real$ and bank portfolios selling intermediates
and long end earlier, two-way by late morning w/fast and real$ across the curve,
flatteners in 2s and 5s vs. 30s, Tsy futures roll volume slows ahead Thu final
notice. Cautious positioning ahead Fri's May NFP. rate hikes rebound, June at
100%, Sep appr 77%, fourth hike in Dec at 35% according to MNI PINCH model),
short end lagging w/3M LIBOR -0.0069 to 2.3003% (-0.0178/wk). 
- Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 100-05.5 (2.407%), 5Y 100-11.5 (2.671%), 10Y 100-08.5
(2.842%), 30Y 102-05 (3.014%).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.