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Tuesday saw Bank of America Research note.......>

SEK
SEK: Tuesday saw Bank of America Research note that "we are somewhat puzzled
about SEK's resilience. True, it is already very weak, we find SEK of the most
undervalued G10 FX. But we think SEK's rebound will likely wait a little longer.
First, we remain bearish risk, which seems to correlate well with SEK. Second,
SEK has been fairly illiquid during Covid-19. Third, we remain concerned about
data. Following Riksbank's meeting last week, SEK reacted positively. Taking
everything into account, as far as SEK is concerned, we fear the market risks
showing some complacency. From Riksbank's meeting, we would single out 2 more
points: first, the Monetary Policy Report mentions that a repo rate cut will
depend on several factors, making explicit that "these factors include the
development of the exchange rate". Elsewhere in the report, Riksbank notes that
"the exchange rate has weakened and thus contributed to counteracting the
tightening a little". Going forward, we see EUR/SEK moving towards 11.50 over
the coming period. We see SEK +ve risks attached to potentially more fiscal
measures. But we still see-non-trivial-negative SEK risks attached to a repo
rate cut."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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