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Twist Flattening On Tuesday
TYZ1 operating around late NY levels, a touch shy of Tuesday's highs, +0-01 at 130-20+.
- The curve saw some twist flattening on Tuesday, with the 2- to 5-Year sector cheapening by 0.5-1.0bp on the day, with the cheapening linked to concession ahead of this week's Tsy coupon supply (which got underway on Tuesday with 2s). Longer dated paper richened by 1.0-4.0bp come the bell.
- On the data front, stronger than expected home sales data added a source of pressure to the space, while consumer confidence rose.
- Flow then helped the space form a base. Block buys in FV (+7.5K) & UXY futures (+11.0K) were seen during the NY morning, as was a TU/TY block flattener (-13,573/+6,977). NY option trade was headlined by a buyer of TYZ1 135.50 calls (+13.0K) and a seller of TYZ1 131.50 calls (+9.5K), with some smaller selling of the TYF2 128.50/130.50 strangle also observed.
- In terms of auction specifics, 2-Year supply stopped through WI by 0.2bp, with the cover ratio recovering from the lowest level witnessed since '08 (seen in the prev. auction), to print above the recent averages. Dealer participation slid, printing comfortably below the recent averages.
- Q3 Australian CPI data is due during Wednesday's Asia-Pac session. Meanwhile, NY hours will be headlined by 5-Year Tsy supply, with prelim. durable goods also due.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.