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(U3) Primary Trend Direction Remains Down

GILT TECHS
  • RES 4: 98.00 Round number resistance
  • RES 3: 97.64 High Jun 1 and the reversal trigger
  • RES 2: 97.43 High Jun 2
  • RES 1: 97.00 High Jun 23
  • PRICE: 96.07 @ Close Jun 23
  • SUP 1: 95.32/93.88 Low Jun 23 / 20 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 93.45 1.618 proj of the Feb 2 - 28 - Mar 20 price swing (cont)
  • SUP 3: 93.00 Round number support
  • SUP 4: 92.66 Low Oct 14 2022 (cont)

A strong bounce in Gilt futures Friday resulted in a clear break of resistance at the 20-day EMA. This eases recent bearish pressure for now, and instead signals scope for a stronger short-term recovery. A continuation higher would expose key resistance at 97.64, the Jun 1 high. The medium-term trend condition remains bearish - a reversal lower and a break of 93.88, the Jun 20 low, would confirm a resumption of the trend.

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