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UK FISCAL: Guardian reports that CGT could be raised to between 33-39%

UK FISCAL
  • The Guardian has reported that the Treasury is considering raising capital gains tax (CGT) to between 33-39% with some sources in the Treasury telling the newspaper that some of the planning was in "complete disarray." But it does note that CGT will not be equalised with income tax (where the additional rate of 45% is the highest levied in the UK). Full story here.
  • The Guardian notes that: "At the lowest end of a possible increase – if 28% were to move to 33% for instance – a few hundred million pounds could be raised for the exchequer, the modelling suggests. Increasing CGT to the middle of the range across different classes of assets could raise about £1bn, it shows. In the more extreme scenario, such as hiking it to 39%, then the annual amount raised by CGT could actually fall after five years."
  • The article also repeats previous reports that big increases in taxes on private equity and non-doms would cost more money than they raise.
  • The first draft of the Budget has already been submitted to the OBR for full costings with another two rounds due. And with the final costings from the OBR due to be delivered to Chancellor Reeves on 25 October (in two weeks time) there is a very short turnaround now to finalise measures.
  • As we have noted in previous bullets, a lot of the measures seem to be watered down from the manifesto as the OBR has reportedly told the Treasury that less extreme measures will raise more money. However, given the manifesto commitments to not raise income tax, national insurance or VAT and to maintain the "triple lock" for pensions, there are not a lot of measures left to increase revenues.
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  • The Guardian has reported that the Treasury is considering raising capital gains tax (CGT) to between 33-39% with some sources in the Treasury telling the newspaper that some of the planning was in "complete disarray." But it does note that CGT will not be equalised with income tax (where the additional rate of 45% is the highest levied in the UK). Full story here.
  • The Guardian notes that: "At the lowest end of a possible increase – if 28% were to move to 33% for instance – a few hundred million pounds could be raised for the exchequer, the modelling suggests. Increasing CGT to the middle of the range across different classes of assets could raise about £1bn, it shows. In the more extreme scenario, such as hiking it to 39%, then the annual amount raised by CGT could actually fall after five years."
  • The article also repeats previous reports that big increases in taxes on private equity and non-doms would cost more money than they raise.
  • The first draft of the Budget has already been submitted to the OBR for full costings with another two rounds due. And with the final costings from the OBR due to be delivered to Chancellor Reeves on 25 October (in two weeks time) there is a very short turnaround now to finalise measures.
  • As we have noted in previous bullets, a lot of the measures seem to be watered down from the manifesto as the OBR has reportedly told the Treasury that less extreme measures will raise more money. However, given the manifesto commitments to not raise income tax, national insurance or VAT and to maintain the "triple lock" for pensions, there are not a lot of measures left to increase revenues.