Ukrainian Strikes Disrupted Up To 15% Of Russian Refinery Capacity - NATO

Wires carrying comments from a NATO official on a range of security issues related Russia. The official states that, "Ukraine strikes have probably disrupted 10% of Russian refinery capacity, maybe more than 15%."

• Official says, "Russia likely recruiting about 30,000 additional personnel per month so can absorb losses and continue attacks," but adds Russia is, "still lacking munitions, manoeuvre units required for successful major offensive."
• The official says it is, "doubtful Russian forces can achieve much success in offensive this spring, or any significant offensive without another large-scale mobilisation."
• It is widely believed that Russian President Vladimir Putin has more political flexibility to order a new mobilisation of troops after securing a fifth term as President in March.
• Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said at a press conference this week, without providing supporting evidence: “I can say that Russia is preparing to mobilise 300,000 military personnel by June 1.”
• On Russia-Iran military cooperation, the official say NATO has, "not yet seen confirmation that Iran has transferred ballistic missiles to Russia," but, "no reason to believe it won't follow through," with proposed transfers.
• The official notes that a delay of Iran ballistic missile transfers is likely due to, "finalising terms of what Tehran will get in return."
• The Biden Admin announced a raft of new sanctions on Iran's Ministry of Defence today, noting in a Treasury Department statement: "We remain committed to disrupting illicit funding streams financing Iran’s production of weapons that support Russia’s war against Ukraine and the attacks by Iranian proxy groups throughout the Middle East."