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Unexpectedly Weak Core Goods CPI Offset By Upside Services Surprise

US DATA

The table in the image below shows how major subcategories came out vs analyst expectations:

  • Headline and core M/M below expected medians, supercore basically in-line
  • Core goods very soft (-0.32%) driven by even more deflation in used cars than expected (-2.3%)
  • Otherwise categories were above-expected including core services (+0.32%), OER and Rents, Lodging, Airfares (slightly), and car insurance.
  • For headline, food was basically in line but energy was on the soft side of expectations.

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