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Reporting on key macro data at the time of release.
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- UniCredit expects a unanimous vote for unchanged policy.
- "Given the huge uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook beyond the very near term, the MPC is unlikely to make big changes to its medium term growth forecasts, while emphasizing the downside risks, particularly those stemming from the labor market."
- "In our view, the MPC is unlikely to take the bank rate negative (there is a better way to achieve the same benefits via a reduction in the rate on the Term Funding Scheme, without the potential cost on credit supply). Therefore, we think the MPC will favor additional asset purchases (along with forward guidance) if there is a need to provide further accommodation, possibly later this year after the Jobs Retention Scheme expires."