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UPDATE: MNI: RBA Lowe Hints At More After Cut To Record Low

MNI (London)
--RBA Cuts Rates 25Bps To 1%, Lowest On Record
--Adds later comments from speech by Governor Lowe
By Lachlan Colquhoun
     SYDNEY (MNI) - The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its official interest rate
for the second time in two months to a new record low on Tuesday and Governor
Philip Lowe said Tuesday the Bank is prepared to cut again.
     The RBA cut official rates by 25 basis points to 1% after a similar cut in
June, which was the first movement in rates since November 2016.
     Later, at a function in Darwin, Lowe held out the likelihood of another
cut, which would take Australian rates below 1% for the first time.
     "Given the circumstances, the Board is prepared to adjust interest rates
again if needed to get us closer to full employment and achieve the inflation
target in a way that supports the collective welfare of all Australians," Lowe
said.
     Earlier, Lowe cited below-trend GDP growth of just 1.8%, subdued
consumption expenditure, declining house prices and a "protracted period" of low
income growth as reasons for the cut.
     He said the cuts would help make "further inroads" into spare capacity in
the economy.
     "It will assist with faster progress in reducing unemployment and achieve
more assured progress towards the inflation target," Lowe said.
     --SPARE CAPACITY
     Although employment growth remained strong, with the participation rate at
record levels, there had been "little inroad" into spare capacity and the
unemployment rate has edged up to 5.2%, Lowe said. Inflation is running at 1.3%
annually against the RBA target of between 2 and 3%, he added.
     After leaving rates unchanged for more than two and a half years, the RBA
has now lowered the official cash rate by a total 50 basis points at its last
two meetings.
     --BACK-TO-BACK
     The Bank has been open in communicating its dovish outlook since the
economy started to slow down late in 2018, and while a second rate cut was
expected by analysts, there was some disagreement as to whether it would come in
July or August.
     After the June cut, Lowe conceded that it was "unrealistic to expect that
lowering interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point will materially shift
the path we look to be on."
     --FISCAL POLICY
     The RBA is also looking to the Federal Government to enact fiscal stimulus
and issue Government bonds to fund public projects.
     Senior RBA figures have met with independent senators whose votes will be
crucial to the passage of the Government's A$158 billion tax cut package, set to
be introduced into the Parliament this month.
     Senior RBA figures have met with independent senators whose votes will be
crucial to the passage of the Government's A$158 billion tax cut package, set to
be introduced into the Parliament this month.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
--MNI Sydney Bureau; +61 405322399; email: lachlan.colquhoun.ext@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMLRB$,M$A$$$,M$L$$$,MT$$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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