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US Crude Export Under Pressure Amid High Freight Prices

OIL

December exports of US WTI crude look likely to fall because of record high freight rates and weather-related disruptions to export operations, according to analysis from Argus.

  • The cost of shipping light sweet WTI on an Aframax tanker to Europe climbed to the highest ever at $10.18/bl on 18 November, on record-high US crude flows to European refiners as they prepare for the 5 December implementation of the EU's ban on seaborne imports from Russia. Aframax loadings have also been relatively unhindered by disruptions affecting very large crude carrier (VLCC) exports, helping to boost the freight rate.
  • Many US traders have been seeking to load crude for export on VLCCs instead of Aframaxes, which are traditionally used to ship oil to Europe, to save on freight costs.
  • But loading of VLCCs has been disrupted by bad weather.
  • The disruption, combined with strong demand to ship crude on VLCCs, may lead to a backlog of tankers waiting to load at the US Gulf coast as far out as mid-December.

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