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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Apr 26/17:06 EST Apr 26
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
GDP for First Quarter (advance estimate)
Friday, April 27 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range 1Q18a 4Q17 3Q17
GDP +2.0% +1.6% to +2.8% -- +2.9% +3.2%
Chain Prices +2.4% +2.1% to +2.5% -- +2.3% +2.1%
Comments: First quarter GDP is expected to be up 2.0%, weaker
than the 2.9% pace in the previous quarter, with the key factor being
much slower PCE growth as the retail sales data have been incredibly
soft in recent months. Stronger capital spending and inventory
investment should provide some offset. First quarter GDP growth is
typically softer than the fourth quarter due to residual seasonality.
The chain price index is expected to rise 2.4% in the first quarter
after a 2.3% fourth quarter gain.
Employment Cost Index for First Quarter (percent change)
Friday, April 27 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range 1Q18 4Q17 3Q17
ECI +0.7% +0.6% to +0.8% -- +0.6% +0.7%
Comments: The ECI is expected to rise by 0.7% in the first quarter
after a 0.6% gain in the previous quarter, but the year/year pace should
be roughly unchanged at 2.6%.
University of Michigan Survey for April (final)
Friday, April 27 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Apr18f Apr18p Mar18
Consumer Sent 98.0 97.8 to 98.5 -- 97.8 101.4
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to be revised up
slightly to 98.0 from 97.8 in the preliminary estimate, remaining below
the 101.4 reading in March.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.