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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Empire State Index for February (diffusion index)
Friday, February 15 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb19 Jan19 Dec18
Empire Index 5.8 0.0 to 11.5 -- 3.9 11.5
Comments: The Empire State index is expected to rebound to 5.8 in
February after falling to 3.9 in January. The index has underperformed
estimates in the last two months and remains only slightly above the
breakeven point.
Industrial Production for January (percent change)
Friday, February 15 at 9:15 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jan19 Dec18 Nov18
Ind Prod +0.2% -0.2% to +0.2% -- +0.3% +0.4%
Cap Util 78.8% 78.4% to 78.8% -- 78.7% 78.6%
Comments: Industrial production is expected to rise 0.2% in January
after a 0.3% rise in December. Factory payrolls rose by 13,000 in
January, while auto production jobs rose by 1,000 and the factory
workweek shortened slightly to 40.8 hours. The ISM production index
rebounded sharply to 60.5 in the current month from 54.1 in the previous
month. Utilities production is expected to partially rebound in the
month after a 6.3% plunge in December, as temperatures returned to
below-normal levels in January, in some cases to record lows. Mining
production is forecast to dip after gain in the previous two months.
Capacity utilization is forecast to rise slightly at 78.8% in December.
University of Michigan Survey for February (preliminary)
Friday, February 15 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb19p Jan19 Dec18
Consumer Sent 93.0 92.0 to 95.0 -- 91.2 98.3
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to rebound to a
reading of 93.0 in early-February after plunging in January, due in
large part to the resolution of the government shutdown.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.