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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Jun 6/17:06 EST Jun 6
     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for   
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI   
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the 
median forecasts.         
Nonfarm Payrolls for May (change in thousands)                     
 Friday, June 7 at 8:30 a.m. ET                           Actual:        
               Median         Range                  May19  Apr19  Mar19
 Payrolls       185k      145k to 208k                  --  +263k  +189k
 Private Jobs   175k      155k to 198k                  --  +236k  +179k
 Jobless Rate   3.6%      3.6% to 3.8%                  --   3.6%   3.8%
 Hrly Earnings  0.3%      0.2% to 0.3%                  --  +0.2%  +0.2%
 Avg Wkly Hrs   34.5      34.4 to 34.5                  --   34.4   34.5
     Comments: Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 185,000 in May 
after a stronger-than-expected 263,000 rise in April. The unemployment 
rate is expected to remain at a 50-year low 3.6% in the previous month 
on a shrinkage in the labor force. Hourly earnings are forecast to 
increase by 0.3%, while the average workweek is expected to rise to 34.5 
hours after falling to 34.4 hours in April. 
Consumer Credit for April (dollar change, billions)                   
 Friday, June 7 at 3:00 p.m. ET                          Actual:        
              Median        Range                  Apr19   Mar19   Feb19
 Cons Cred   +$13.8b +$13.0b to +$14.5b               -- +$10.3b +$15.5b
     Comments: Consumer credit use is expected to rise by $13.8 billion 
in April after a smaller $10.3 billion gain in March. Retail sales 
declined in the month on both a sharp decline in auto sales and soft 
readings in other categories outside of gasoline station sales.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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