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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Monday, Aug 26
MNI: China CFETS Yuan Index Down 0.50% In Week of Aug 23
US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Weekly Jobless Claims for March 9 week
Thursday, March 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar09 Mar02 Feb23
Weekly Claims 225k 220k to 228k -- 233k 226k
Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to rise
by 2,000 to 225,000 in the March 9 week after a decrease of 3,000 in the
previous week. The four-week moving average would fall by an additional
3,500 this week as the 239,000 level in the February 9 week rolls out of
the calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and there are no
revisions.
New Home Sales for January (annual rate)
Thursday, March 14 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jan19 Dec18 Nov18
New Homes 624k 575k to 641k -- 621k 599k
Comments: The pace of new home sales is expected to rise further to
a 630,000 annual rate in January after solid December rebound. Sales in
October and November were revised lower, while sales in December were
still down from a year earlier.
Empire State Index for March (diffusion index)
Friday, March 15 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar19 Feb19 Jan19
Empire Index 10.0 6.0 to 15.0 -- 8.8 3.9
Comments: The Empire State index is expected to move higher to 10.0
in March after rebounding to 8.8 in February. The manufacturing measures
have moderated in recent months, but continue to exhibit positive
growth.
Industrial Production for February (percent change)
Friday, March 15 at 9:15 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb19 Jan19 Dec18
Ind Prod +0.4% Flat to +1.1% -- -0.6% +0.1%
Cap Util 78.5% 78.0% to 79.0% -- 78.2% 78.8%
Comments: Industrial production is expected to rebound by 0.4% in
February after a 0.6% decline in January, with a number of negative
signs for manufacturing production after January's decline. Factory
payrolls rose by only 4,000 in February, with auto production jobs up
1,000, while the factory workweek contracted further to 40.7 hours from
40.8 hours in January. The ISM production index fell to 54.8 in the
current month from 60.5 in the previous month. Utilities production is
expected to surge on harsh weather in the month after a modest 0.4% rise
in January, while mining production is expected to continue its upward
path. Capacity utilization is forecast to rise to 78.5% after falling to
78.2% in January.
University of Michigan Survey for March (preliminary)
Friday, March 15 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar19p Feb19 Jan19
Consumer Sent 95.5 94.0 to 97.0 -- 93.8 91.2
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to rise to 95.5
in early-March from 93.8 in February, reflecting rising stock prices and
still-low gasoline prices.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.