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US Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey
Data for: October 2017
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1-Yr Pct
Pct Change Pct Change 1-Yr Pct Chg Chg
1-yr infl 3-yr infl Gas Food
Mar17 2.74 2.71 4.33 4.37
Apr17 2.79 2.91 4.55 4.47
May17 2.59 2.47 4.35 4.47
Jun17 2.54 2.78 3.77 4.37
Jul17 2.54 2.71 2.95 4.32
Aug17 2.49 2.62 4.06 4.60
Sep17 2.54 2.80 4.66 4.58
Oct17 2.61 2.81 3.83 4.30
1-Yr Pct 1-Yr Pct
Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg Chg
Medical College Rent Gold
Mar17 9.17 7.05 5.49 3.71
Apr17 9.05 7.05 5.60 3.83
May17 9.44 7.28 5.51 3.47
Jun17 9.44 7.32 5.51 2.88
Jul17 9.39 6.02 5.35 2.26
Aug17 9.46 6.69 5.23 3.06
Sep17 9.26 5.86 5.43 2.85
Oct17 9.70 6.58 5.48 2.90
1-yr 1-yr
1-yr Household Household Growth
Pct Growth Spending
In Pct Growth In Income Growth Growth In Taxes
Pct
Home Prices Earnings Pct Change Pct Change Change
Mar17 3.33 2.44 2.52 3.29 2.23
Apr17 3.36 2.54 2.76 2.58 2.21
May17 3.48 2.21 2.74 2.56 2.17
Jun17 3.45 2.54 2.74 3.27 2.31
Jul17 3.20 2.59 2.96 2.82 2.37
Aug17 3.30 2.54 2.73 3.02 2.57
Sep17 3.02 2.25 2.20 2.69 2.17
Oct17 3.02 2.12 2.58 2.84 2.32
Probability
Of Probability Of
Higher
Unemp Higher Stock 1-yr Govt
Rates 1-yr Prices 1-yr Debt Growth
From Now From Now Pct Change
Mar17 35.54 45.44 5.18
Apr17 36.48 43.75 5.31
May17 37.46 44.04 5.41
Jun17 36.26 43.59 4.94
Jul17 35.97 41.65 4.93
Aug17 35.38 43.08 5.17
Sep17 35.74 41.98 5.66
Oct17 36.00 42.92 5.92
Probability Of
The Following
Occurring
Change In
Job Voluntary Job Finding Home
Next 12
Separation Separation In 3 Months Mos
Mar17 14.47 21.26 59.29 19.18
Apr17 13.24 19.93 56.53 18.78
May17 13.64 19.44 56.69 19.36
Jun17 13.47 20.78 59.21 19.11
Jul17 13.67 21.72 57.12 18.42
Aug17 13.78 21.69 58.32 18.83
Sep17 13.79 20.61 59.20 18.56
Oct17 15.34 23.09 57.67 18.10
Probability
Of Probability Of
Unable To
Make Higher Savings
Minimum
Payment Acct Interest Rates
Next 3 Mos 1-yr From Now
Mar17 11.19 41.80
Apr17 12.15 39.17
May17 13.10 37.22
Jun17 12.03 36.83
Jul17 12.17 34.03
Aug17 12.85 34.39
Sep17 13.39 33.82
Oct17 12.77 32.93
Credit Availability
Compared With Year
Ago
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Mar17 5.33 25.21 48.29 18.59 2.58
Apr17 5.86 25.76 46.67 18.74 2.96
May17 5.81 23.93 48.48 19.20 2.59
Jun17 5.80 25.85 45.53 19.97 2.86
Jul17 4.67 24.96 44.71 22.86 2.80
Aug17 4.88 25.49 44.59 21.51 3.53
Sep17 5.90 24.74 46.80 19.99 2.56
Oct17 6.15 22.26 49.27 19.67 2.66
Credit Availability
Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Mar17 5.82 27.50 44.73 18.60 3.35
Apr17 5.30 24.97 47.74 18.66 3.33
May17 6.32 24.96 48.58 17.56 2.59
Jun17 4.84 25.14 48.21 18.48 3.31
Jul17 5.06 24.71 46.72 21.36 2.15
Aug17 4.55 26.18 46.56 19.77 2.94
Sep17 5.89 24.02 49.60 18.19 2.30
Oct17 4.87 23.33 50.90 18.19 2.71
Household Finances
Compared With Year
Ago
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Better
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Off
Mar17 1.82 12.43 53.52 28.05 4.18
Apr17 1.90 13.74 51.79 27.58 5.00
May17 2.07 15.94 49.57 27.51 4.91
Jun17 1.94 14.96 48.33 30.61 4.16
Jul17 1.43 15.19 48.67 29.72 4.99
Aug17 2.04 15.92 49.39 26.53 6.11
Sep17 2.28 17.51 47.95 27.93 4.33
Oct17 2.91 15.77 46.75 30.38 4.19
Household Finances
Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Better
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Off
Mar17 1.21 11.19 44.50 36.74 6.36
Apr17 1.20 9.87 44.49 36.18 8.25
May17 0.66 12.35 45.94 34.14 6.91
Jun17 1.25 11.99 43.09 37.10 6.56
Jul17 1.05 11.28 46.25 35.76 5.67
Aug17 1.07 10.94 45.73 35.49 6.78
Sep17 1.10 11.68 46.93 33.89 6.40
Oct17 1.00 10.44 47.63 34.82 6.10
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDA$,M$U$$$]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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