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August 13, 2018 14:05 GMT
US Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey
Data for: July 2018
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability
1-Yr Pct
Pct Change Pct Change 1-Yr Pct Chg Chg
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1-yr infl 3-yr infl Gas Food
Feb18 2.83 2.88 4.29 4.31
Mar18 2.75 2.91 4.62 4.49
Apr18 2.98 2.97 4.76 4.65
May18 2.98 2.96 5.21 4.47
Jun18 2.98 3.00 4.81 4.43
Jul18 2.98 2.88 4.61 4.53
1-Yr Pct 1-Yr Pct
Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg Chg
Medical College Rent Gold
Feb18 9.12 5.98 5.34 2.58
Mar18 8.82 5.91 5.19 2.95
Apr18 8.90 6.30 5.51 2.99
May18 9.30 6.74 5.71 2.94
Jun18 9.63 7.02 5.67 2.69
Jul18 8.46 7.17 5.63 2.09
1-yr 1-yr
1-yr Household Household Change
Pct Growth Spending
In Pct Growth In Income Growth Growth In Taxes
Pct
Home Prices Earnings Pct Change Pct Change Change
Feb18 3.33 2.67 2.97 2.95 1.50
Mar18 3.48 2.61 2.87 3.08 1.67
Apr18 3.69 2.67 2.85 3.27 1.93
May18 3.66 2.54 2.62 2.96 2.18
Jun18 3.92 2.71 2.72 3.35 2.21
Jul18 3.73 2.42 2.78 3.23 2.24
Probability
Of Probability Of
Higher
Unemp Higher Stock 1-yr Govt
Rates 1-yr Prices 1-yr Debt Growth
From Now From Now Pct Change
Feb18 32.25 43.02 7.53
Mar18 34.45 42.02 6.95
Apr18 34.94 41.51 7.61
May18 34.13 42.01 7.63
Jun18 34.27 40.42 6.58
Jul18 34.18 40.28 6.93
Probability Of
The Following
Occurring
Change In
Job Voluntary Job Finding Home
Next 12
Separation Separation In 3 Months Mos
Feb18 12.75 21.35 59.70 18.27
Mar18 13.91 19.34 57.57 17.34
Apr18 13.73 20.50 57.08 18.08
May18 13.96 21.35 59.92 17.38
Jun18 15.23 21.35 58.61 18.37
Jul18 14.02 23.17 59.79 18.76
Probability
Of Probability Of
Unable To
Make Higher Savings
Minimum
Payment Acct Interest Rates
Next 3 Mos 1-yr From Now
Feb18 11.56 36.48
Mar18 10.72 37.07
Apr18 11.04 36.80
May18 11.73 36.43
Jun18 12.41 37.09
Jul18 11.84 35.97
Credit Availability
Compared With Year
Ago
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Feb18 4.15 20.54 49.93 22.02 3.37
Mar18 4.24 21.17 52.91 18.51 3.16
Apr18 4.34 22.88 50.73 19.04 3.01
May18 4.79 22.86 48.49 21.60 2.27
Jun18 6.02 21.94 48.47 20.54 3.04
Jul18 4.66 22.47 49.19 20.37 3.31
Credit Availability
Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Feb18 4.14 23.44 49.77 19.52 3.14
Mar18 3.61 23.53 53.48 15.99 3.39
Apr18 4.27 24.87 49.80 18.65 2.40
May18 5.12 25.29 48.87 18.50 2.22
Jun18 5.50 25.12 47.69 18.56 3.13
Jul18 5.87 24.66 49.82 16.84 2.81
Household Finances
Compared With Year
Ago
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Better
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Off
Feb18 1.97 14.20 43.60 34.84 5.38
Mar18 2.19 13.31 44.12 34.33 6.05
Apr18 2.59 14.48 44.72 32.47 5.74
May18 2.77 12.47 49.47 29.48 5.81
Jun18 2.17 13.92 48.23 30.83 4.86
Jul18 4.06 12.99 45.96 30.86 6.13
Household Finances
Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Better
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Off
Feb18 0.48 9.67 44.29 38.18 7.38
Mar18 0.91 10.92 44.22 36.39 7.56
Apr18 0.82 10.98 44.13 37.36 6.70
May18 0.97 12.77 44.58 35.76 5.92
Jun18 1.50 10.30 45.79 37.07 5.35
Jul18 1.57 10.43 46.64 34.48 6.89
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDA$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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