Free Trial
USD

USDCAD highest since November 2020

OIL

US Boost West African Crude Imports

Real-time Actionable Insight

Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.

Free Access
Data for: September 2018
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              1-Yr Pct
        Pct Change         Pct Change         1-Yr Pct Chg         Chg
         1-yr infl          3-yr infl                  Gas        Food
Apr18         2.98               2.97                 4.76        4.65
May18         2.98               2.96                 5.21        4.47
Jun18         2.98               3.00                 4.81        4.43
Jul18         2.98               2.88                 4.61        4.53
Aug18         3.00               3.00                 4.41        4.59
Sep18         3.00               3.00                 4.48        4.48
          1-Yr Pct                                            1-Yr Pct
               Chg       1-Yr Pct Chg         1-Yr Pct Chg         Chg
           Medical            College                 Rent        Gold
Apr18         8.90               6.30                 5.51        2.99
May18         9.30               6.74                 5.71        2.94
Jun18         9.63               7.02                 5.67        2.69
Jul18         8.46               7.17                 5.63        2.09
Aug18         8.55               7.16                 5.61        2.20
Sep18         9.20               7.04                 5.55        2.58
                                                                  1-yr      1-yr
                                            1-yr Household   Household    Change
        Pct Growth                                            Spending
                In     Pct  Growth In        Income Growth      Growth  In Taxes
                                                                             Pct
       Home Prices           Earnings           Pct Change  Pct Change    Change
Apr18         3.69               2.67                 2.85        3.27      1.93
May18         3.66               2.54                 2.62        2.96      2.18
Jun18         3.92               2.71                 2.72        3.35      2.21
Jul18         3.73               2.42                 2.78        3.23      2.24
Aug18         3.57               2.54                 2.81        3.15      2.15
Sep18         3.56               2.76                 2.52        2.94      2.45
       Probability
                Of     Probability Of
            Higher
             Unemp       Higher Stock            1-yr Govt
        Rates 1-yr        Prices 1-yr          Debt Growth
          From Now           From Now           Pct Change
Apr18        34.94              41.51                 7.61
May18        34.13              42.01                 7.63
Jun18        34.27              40.42                 6.58
Jul18        34.18              40.28                 6.93
Aug18        35.31              40.03                 7.93
Sep18        34.05              41.63                 7.01
                       Probability Of
                        The Following
                            Occurring
                                                             Change In
               Job          Voluntary          Job Finding        Home
                                                               Next 12
        Separation         Separation          In 3 Months         Mos
Apr18        13.73              20.50                57.08       18.08
May18        13.96              21.35                59.92       17.38
Jun18        15.23              21.35                58.61       18.37
Jul18        14.02              23.17                59.79       18.76
Aug18        13.82              20.60                57.84       18.88
Sep18        15.99              23.37                59.29       17.44
       Probability
                Of                          Probability Of
         Unable To
              Make                          Higher Savings
           Minimum
           Payment                     Acct Interest Rates
        Next 3 Mos                           1-yr From Now
Apr18        11.04                                   36.80
May18        11.73                                   36.43
Jun18        12.41                                   37.09
Jul18        11.84                                   35.97
Aug18        12.77                                   35.22
Sep18        13.71                                   36.83
                                       Credit Availability
                                        Compared With Year
                                                       Ago
              Much           Somewhat              Equally    Somewhat      Much
            Harder             Harder            Easy/Hard      Easier    Easier
Apr18         4.34              22.88                50.73       19.04      3.01
May18         4.79              22.86                48.49       21.60      2.27
Jun18         6.02              21.94                48.47       20.54      3.04
Jul18         4.66              22.47                49.19       20.37      3.31
Aug18         4.89              23.30                47.71       21.10      2.98
Sep18         4.24              22.66                48.24       21.41      3.44
                                       Credit Availability
                                        Seen Year From Now
              Much           Somewhat              Equally    Somewhat      Much
            Harder             Harder            Easy/Hard      Easier    Easier
Apr18         4.27              24.87                49.80       18.65      2.40
May18         5.12              25.29                48.87       18.50      2.22
Jun18         5.50              25.12                47.69       18.56      3.13
Jul18         5.87              24.66                49.82       16.84      2.81
Aug18         4.64              25.84                48.47       18.22      2.83
Sep18         3.98              27.09                47.86       18.48      2.59
                                        Household Finances
                                        Compared With Year
                                                       Ago
              Much           Somewhat                About    Somewhat      Much
                                                                          Better
         Worse Off          Worse Off             The Same  Better Off       Off
Apr18         2.59              14.48                44.72       32.47      5.74
May18         2.77              12.47                49.47       29.48      5.81
Jun18         2.17              13.92                48.23       30.83      4.86
Jul18         4.06              12.99                45.96       30.86      6.13
Aug18         1.95              14.77                46.03       31.99      5.26
Sep18         1.68              15.60                47.85       29.32      5.56
                                        Household Finances
                                        Seen Year From Now
              Much           Somewhat                About    Somewhat      Much
                                                                          Better
         Worse Off          Worse Off             The Same  Better Off       Off
Apr18         0.82              10.98                44.13       37.36      6.70
May18         0.97              12.77                44.58       35.76      5.92
Jun18         1.50              10.30                45.79       37.07      5.35
Jul18         1.57              10.43                46.64       34.48      6.89
Aug18         0.74              10.22                44.99       36.91      7.14
Sep18         0.50              11.51                48.24       33.10      6.66
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: shikha.dave@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDA$,M$U$$$]

To read the full story

Why Subscribe to

MarketNews.com

MNI is the leading provider

of news and intelligence specifically for the Global Foreign Exchange and Fixed Income Markets, providing timely, relevant, and critical insight for market professionals and those who want to make informed investment decisions. We offer not simply news, but news analysis, linking breaking news to the effects on capital markets. Our exclusive information and intelligence moves markets.

Our credibility

for delivering mission-critical information has been built over three decades. The quality and experience of MNI's team of analysts and reporters across America, Asia and Europe truly sets us apart. Our Markets team includes former fixed-income specialists, currency traders, economists and strategists, who are able to combine expertise on macro economics, financial markets, and political risk to give a comprehensive and holistic insight on global markets.