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US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 11:06 GMT Jul 4/07:06 EST Jul 4
                                    Jun-19   May-19   Apr-19   Mar-19   Feb-19
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UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                               219/215  228/220  197/207  224/220  230/225
wk 2                               222/218  212/225  193/201  216/220  231/229
wk 3                               217/219  212/221  230/206  212/217  213/229
wk 4                               229/222  218/217  230/212  204/214  224/225
wk 5                               221/222                             218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls                               +75k    +224k    +153k     +56k
Private Payrolls                               +90k    +205k    +153k     +46k
Mfg Payroll                                     +3k      +5k      -3k      +8k
Unemployment                                   3.6%     3.6%     3.8%     3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours                                 34.4     34.4     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                                40.6     40.6     40.7     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                              +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.5%    -0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                           Flat    -0.1%    -0.1%    -0.2%
Avg Hourly Earnings                           +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%
Final Demand PPI                              +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                            +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade                      +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat    +0.1%
CPI                                           +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                            +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import Prices                                 -0.3%    +0.1%    +0.6%    +1.0%
non-petro import prices                       -0.3%    -0.5%     Flat    +0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index               47.9     53.2     50.0     54.3     49.4
PCE Price Index M/M                           +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                           +1.5%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.3%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                      +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%     Flat
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                      +1.6%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.7%
Treasury Budget (bn)                                 -$207.8  +$160.3  -$146.9
Consumer Credit (bn)                                  +$17.5   +$11.0   +$15.5
CB Consumer Confidence                        134.1    129.2    124.2    131.4
Consumer Sentiment                    98.2    100.0     97.2     98.5     93.8
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar (mn)        2.3      2.3      2.3      2.6      2.4
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford, Saar (mn)      5.3      5.3      4.8      5.0      4.7
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar (mn)            7.6      7.6      7.1      7.6      7.1
Retail Sales                                  +0.5%    +0.3%    +1.8%    -0.5%
excl motor vehicles                           +0.5%    +0.5%    +1.4%    -0.6%
Personal Income                               +0.5%    +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Personal Spending                             +0.4%    +0.6%    +1.0%    -0.2%
ISM Mfg Index                         51.7     52.1     52.8     55.3     54.2
ISM Nonmfg NMI                        55.1     56.9     55.5     56.1     59.7
MNI Chicago Report                    49.7     54.2     52.6     58.7     64.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index                    0.3     16.6      8.5     13.7     -4.1
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                 8.2     17.3     21.0     21.7     10.0
Empire State Index                    -8.6     17.8     10.1      3.7      8.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                         0        4        5       10        1
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                 3.0        5        3       10       16
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                 -12.1     -5.3      2.0      6.9     11.6
Markit Mfg Index                      50.6     50.5     52.4     52.4     53.0
Markit Services Index                 50.7     50.9     53.0     55.3     56.0
Ind Production                                +0.4%    -0.4%    +0.1%    -0.6%
Capacity Util                                 78.1%    77.9%    78.4%    78.4%
Factory Orders                                -0.7%    -1.2%    +1.3%    -1.0%
Factory Orders ex transport                   +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%
Durables                                      -1.3%    -2.8%    +1.7%    -2.6%
Durables ex transport                         +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.5%    -0.3%
Nondurables                                   -0.2%    +0.4%    +0.9%    +0.7%
Mfg Shipments                                 +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Business Inventories                                   +0.5%     Flat    +0.3%
Factory                                       +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.3%
Retail                                                 +0.5%    -0.3%    +0.3%
Wholesale                                              +0.8%     Flat    +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn)                           1.269    1.281    1.199    1.149
Building Permits (mn)                         1.299    1.290    1.288    1.291
NAHB Index                              64       66       63       62       62
New Home Sales (k)                                       673      723      669
Existing Homes (mn)                            5.34     5.21     5.21     5.48
Pending Home Sales Index                      105.4    104.3    105.9    101.9
Construct Spending                            -0.8%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +1.0%
Private Residential                           -0.6%    -0.6%    -0.8%    -0.7%
Trade Balance (bn)                           -$55.5   -$51.2   -$51.9   -$50.0
Exports (bn)                                +$210.6  +$206.4  +$211.4  +$209.6
Imports (bn)                                +$266.2  +$257.6  +$263.3  +$259.7
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                         -$76.1   -$71.7   -$72.7   -$70.8
Leading Index                                  Flat    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%
                                                                Q1-19
GDP (chain-wt)                                                  +3.1%
Final Sales                                                     +2.6%
Chain prices                                                    +0.9%
Current-dollar                                                  +3.8%
                                                                Q1-19
Nonfarm Productivity                                            +3.4%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                        -1.6%
                                                                Q1-19
ECI (q/q)                                                       +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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