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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Market News Topics
September 12, 2019 19:45 GMT
US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Sep 12/17:06 EST Sep 12
Aug-19 Jul-19 Jun-19 May-19 Apr-19 Mar-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 211/213 208/219 219/215 228/220 197/207 224/220
wk 2 221/214 216/219 222/218 212/225 193/201 216/220
wk 3 211/215 207/213 217/219 212/221 230/206 212/217
wk 4 215/215 217/212 229/222 218/217 230/212 204/214
wk 5 219/204 211/213 222/223
Nonfarm Payrolls +130k +164k +193k +62k +216k +153k
Private Payrolls +96k +148k +179k +81k +195k +153k
Mfg Payroll +3k +16k +12k +2k +3k -3k
Unemployment 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.3 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.6 40.4 40.7 40.6 40.6 40.7
Aggr Hours Index +0.4% -0.2% +0.2% +0.1% -0.2% +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.5% -0.6% +0.3% +0.1% -0.2% -0.1%
+0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.1% +0.2%
Final Demand PPI +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.6%
excl food & energy +0.3% -0.1% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade +0.4% -0.1% Flat +0.4% +0.4% Flat
CPI +0.1% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.4%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%
Import Prices +0.2% -0.9% Flat +0.2% +0.6%
non-petro import prices Flat -0.4% -0.3% -0.5% Flat
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 45.1 47.9 53.2 50.0 54.3
PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.5% +1.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$119.7 -$8.5 -$207.8 +$160.3
Consumer Credit (bn) +$17.1 +$17.5 +$11.0
CB Consumer Confidence 135.1 135.8 124.3 131.3 129.2 124.2
Consumer Sentiment 89.8 98.4 98.2 100.0 97.2 98.5
Retail Sales +0.7% +0.3% +0.5% +0.4% +1.8%
excl motor vehicles +1.0% +0.3% +0.5% +0.6% +1.4%
Personal Income +0.1% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4%
Personal Spending +0.6% +0.3% +0.5% +0.6% +1.0%
ISM Mfg Index 49.1 51.2 51.7 52.1 52.8 55.3
ISM Nonmfg NMI 53.7 55.1 56.9 55.5 56.1
MNI Chicago Report 50.4 44.4 49.7 54.2 52.6 58.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index 16.8 21.8 0.3 16.6 8.5 13.7
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 7.5 21.4 8.2 17.3 21.0 21.7
Empire State Index 4.8 4.3 -8.6 17.8 10.1 3.7
KC Fed Mfg Index -6 -1 0 4 5 10
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 1 -12 2 7 9 10
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 17.9 -6.3 -12.1 -5.3 2.0 6.9
Markit Mfg Index 49.9 50.4 50.6 50.5 52.4 52.4
Markit Services Index 53.0 53.0 51.5 50.9 53.0 55.3
Ind Production -0.2% +0.2% +0.2% -0.6% +0.1%
Capacity Util 77.5% 77.8% 77.8% 77.7% 78.4%
Factory Orders +1.4 +0.6% -1.3% -1.2% +1.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.3 +0.1% +0.0% +0.2% +0.1%
Durables +2.0% +1.8% -2.3% -2.8% +1.7%
Durables ex transport -0.4% +0.8% +0.4% -0.2% -0.5%
Nondurables +0.8% -0.7% -0.3% +0.4% +0.9%
Mfg Shipments -0.2 +0.1 +0.1% -0.6% +0.2%
Business Inventories Flat +0.3% +0.5% Flat
Factory +0.2 +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.4%
Retail -0.3% +0.3% +0.6% -0.3%
Wholesale +0.2 Flat +0.4% +0.8% Flat
Housing Starts (mn) 1.191 1.241 1.264 1.270 1.199
Building Permits (mn) 1.336 1.232 1.299 1.290 1.288
NAHB Index 65 64 66 63 62
New Home Sales (k) 635 646 604 658 705
Existing Homes (mn) 5.42 5.29 5.36 5.21 5.21
Pending Home Sales Index 105.6 108.3 105.4 104.3 105.9
Construct Spending 0.1 -0.7 -0.5% +0.9% +0.1%
Private Residential 0.6 -0.5 Flat +0.9% -0.8%
Trade Balance (bn) -$54.0 -$55.2 -$55.3 -$51.2 -$51.9
Exports (bn) $207.4 $206.3 $210.7 $206.4 $211.4
Imports (bn) $261.4 $261.5 $266.0 $257.6 $263.3
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$72.5 -$75.1 -$75.9 -$71.7 -$72.7
Leading Index +0.5% -0.1% -0.1% +0.1% +0.3%
Q2-19 Q1-19
GDP (chain-wt) +2.0% +3.1%
Final Sales +3.0% +2.6%
Chain prices +2.4% +1.1%
Current-dollar +4.6% +3.9%
Q2-19 Q1-19
Nonfarm Productivity +2.3% +3.5%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.6% +5.5%
Q2-19 Q1-19
ECI (q/q) +0.6% +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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