US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Oct 31/17:06 EST Oct 31

              Oct-19  Sep-19  Aug-19  Jul-19   Jun-19   May-19   Apr-19   Mar-19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UI

Claims/4wk

avg

              214/21  204/21  211/21  208/21

wk 1               5       3       3       9  219/215  228/220  197/207  224/220

              213/21  208/20  221/21  216/21

wk 2               8       6       4       9  222/218  212/225  193/201  216/220

                      219/21  211/21  207/21

wk 3                       3       5       3  217/219  212/221  230/206  212/217

                      220/21  216/21  217/21

wk 4                       0       5       2  229/222  218/217  230/212  204/214

                      210/21  219/21  211/21

wk 5                       4       7       3  222/223

Nonfarm

Payrolls               +136k   +168k   +166k    +193k     +62k    +216k    +153k

Private

Payrolls               +114k   +122k   +148k    +179k     +81k    +195k    +153k

Mfg Payroll              -2k     +2k    +16k     +12k      +2k      +3k      -3k

Unemployment            3.5%    3.7%    3.7%     3.7%     3.6%     3.6%     3.8%

Avg Wkly

Hours                   34.4    34.4    34.3     34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5

Avg Hours -

Mfg                     40.5    40.5    40.4     40.7     40.6     40.6     40.7

Aggr Hours

Index                   0.0%   +0.4%   -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.5%

Aggr Hrs

Index - Mfg             0.0%   +0.5%   -0.6%    +0.3%    +0.1%    -0.2%    -0.1%

Avg Hourly

Earnings               +0.4%   +0.4%   +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%

Final Demand

PPI                    -0.3%   +0.1%   +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%

excl food &

energy                 -0.3%   +0.3%   -0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%

excl food,

energy,

trade                    0.0   +0.4%   -0.1%     Flat    +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat

CPI                    +0.1%   +0.1%   +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.4%

excl food &

energy                 +0.2%   +0.3%   +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%

Import

Prices                 +0.2%   -0.5%   +0.2%    -0.9%     Flat    +0.2%    +0.6%

non-petro

import

prices                           0.0    Flat    -0.4%    -0.3%    -0.5%     Flat

ISM Mfg

Prices Pd

Index                   49.7    46.0    45.1     47.9     53.2     50.0     54.3

PCE Price

Index M/M               0.0%    0.0%   +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%

PCE Price

Index Y/Y               1.3%    1.4%   +1.4%    +1.4%    +1.4%    +1.5%    +1.4%

Core PCE

Price Index

M/M                     0.0%    0.1%   +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%

Core PCE

Price Index

Y/Y                     1.3%    1.8%   +1.6%    +1.6%    +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.5%

Treasury                              -$200.

Budget (bn)                                3  -$119.7    -$8.5  -$207.8  +$160.3

Consumer

Credit (bn)                   +$17.9  +$23.3   +$13.8   +$17.1   +$17.5   +$11.0

CB Consumer

Confidence             125.1   135.1   135.8    124.3    131.3    129.2    124.2

Consumer

Sentiment                       89.8    98.4     98.2    100.0     97.2     98.5

Retail Sales           -0.3%    +0.4   +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.4%    +1.8%

excl motor

vehicles                         0.0   +1.0%    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.6%    +1.4%

Personal

Income                         +0.4%   +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%

Personal

Spending                       +0.1%   +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.6%    +1.0%

ISM Mfg

Index                   47.8    49.1    51.2     51.7     52.1     52.8     55.3

ISM Nonmfg

NMI                             56.4    53.7     55.1     56.9     55.5     56.1

MNI Chicago

Report                  47.1    50.4    44.4     49.7     54.2     52.6     58.7

Phila Fed

Mfg Index               12.0    16.8    21.8      0.3     16.6      8.5     13.7

Phila Fed

Nonmfg Index    12.6     9.5     7.5    21.4      8.2     17.3     21.0     21.7

Empire State

Index            4.0     2.0     4.8     4.3     -8.6     17.8     10.1      3.7

KC Fed Mfg

Index             -3      -2      -6      -1        0        4        5       10

Richmond Fed

Mfg Index                 -9       1     -12        2        7        9       10

Dallas Fed

Mfg Index                1.5     2.7    -6.3    -12.1     -5.3      2.0      6.9

Markit Mfg

Index                   51.5    50.3    50.4     50.6     50.5     52.4     52.4

Markit

Services

Index                   50.9    50.7    53.0     51.5     50.9     53.0     55.3

Ind

Production             -0.4%   +0.8%   -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    -0.6%    +0.1%

Capacity

Util                   77.5%   77.9%   77.5%    77.8%    77.8%    77.7%    78.4%

Factory

Orders                         -0.1%    +1.4    +0.6%    -1.3%    -1.2%    +1.3%

Factory

Orders ex

transport                               +0.3    +0.1%    +0.0%    +0.2%    +0.1%

Durables               -1.1%   +0.2%   +2.0%    +1.8%    -2.3%    -2.8%    +1.7%

Durables ex

transport              -0.3%   +0.5%   -0.4%    +0.8%    +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.5%

Nondurables                            +0.8%    -0.7%    -0.3%    +0.4%    +0.9%

Mfg

Shipments                               -0.2     +0.1    +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%

Business

Inventories              0.0    +0.4    +0.4     Flat    +0.3%    +0.5%     Flat

Factory                                 +0.2    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.4%

Retail                  -0.1     0.8            -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.6%    -0.3%

Wholesale                       +0.2    +0.2     Flat    +0.4%    +0.8%     Flat

Housing

Starts (mn)            1.256   1.386   1.191    1.241    1.264    1.270    1.199

Building

Permits (mn)           1.387   1.425   1.336    1.232    1.299    1.290    1.288

NAHB Index                68      66      65       64       66       63       62

New Home

Sales (k)                701     706     635      646      604      658      705

Existing

Homes (mn)              5.38    5.49    5.42     5.29     5.36     5.21     5.21

Pending Home

Sales Index            108.7   107.1   105.6    108.3    105.4    104.3    105.9

Construct

Spending                         0.1     0.1     -0.7    -0.5%    +0.9%    +0.1%

Private

Residential                      0.9     0.6     -0.5     Flat    +0.9%    -0.8%

Trade

Balance (bn)                  -$54.9  -$54.0   -$55.2   -$55.3   -$51.2   -$51.9

Exports (bn)                  $207.9  $207.4   $206.3   $210.7   $206.4   $211.4

Imports (bn)                  $262.8  $261.4   $261.5   $266.0   $257.6   $263.3

Goods Only,

BOP (bn)                      -$74.4  -$72.5   -$75.1   -$75.9   -$71.7   -$72.7

Leading

Index                          +0.0%   +0.5%    -0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%

                               Q3-19            Q2-19                      Q1-19

GDP

(chain-wt)                     +1.9%            +2.0%                      +3.1%

Final Sales                    +2.0%            +3.0%                      +2.6%

Chain prices                   +2.4%            +2.4%                      +1.1%

Current-doll

ar                             +1.7%            +4.6%                      +3.9%

                                                Q2-19                      Q1-19

Nonfarm

Productivity                                    +2.3%                      +3.5%

Nonfarm Unit

Labor Costs                                     +2.6%                      +5.5%

                               Q3-19            Q2-19                      Q1-19

ECI (q/q)                      +0.7%            +0.6%                      +0.7%

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com

[TOPICS: MTABLE]