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US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Oct-19   Sep-19   Aug-19   Jul-19   Jun-19   May-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        210/214  206/213  211/213  208/219  219/215  228/220
wk 2                        218/216  210/213  221/214  216/219  222/218  212/225
wk 3                        213/215  215/213  211/215  207/213  217/219  212/221
wk 4                        213/215  220/213  216/215  217/212  229/222  218/217
wk 5                        218/215           219/217  211/213  222/223
Nonfarm Payrolls              +128k    +136k    +168k    +166k    +193k     +62k
Private Payrolls              +180k    +114k    +122k    +148k    +179k     +81k
Mfg Payroll                    -36k      -2k      +2k     +16k     +12k      +2k
Unemployment                   3.6%     3.5%     3.7%     3.7%     3.7%     3.6%
Avg Wkly Hours                 34.4     34.4     34.4     34.3     34.4     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                40.3     40.5     40.5     40.4     40.7     40.6
Aggr Hours Index               0.0%     0.0%    +0.4%    -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg          -0.6%     0.0%    +0.5%    -0.6%    +0.3%    +0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings           +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Final Demand PPI                       -0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     -0.3%    +0.3%    -0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade                 0.0    +0.4%    -0.1%     Flat    +0.4%
CPI                                    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%
Import Prices                          +0.2%    -0.5%    +0.2%    -0.9%     Flat
non-petro import prices                           0.0     Flat    -0.4%    -0.3%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 49.7     46.0     45.1     47.9     53.2
PCE Price Index M/M                     0.0%     0.0%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                     1.3%     1.4%    +1.4%    +1.4%    +1.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                0.0%     0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                1.7%     1.8%    +1.6%    +1.6%    +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn)                 -$200.3  -$119.7  -$200.3  -$119.7    -$8.5
Consumer Credit (bn)                  +$23.3   +$17.9   +$23.3   +$13.8   +$17.1
CB Consumer Confidence                 125.1    135.1    135.8    124.3    131.3
Consumer Sentiment                               89.8     98.4     98.2    100.0
Retail Sales                           -0.3%     +0.4    +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.5%
excl motor vehicles                               0.0    +1.0%    +0.3%    +0.5%
Personal Income                        +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%
Personal Spending                      +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.5%
ISM Mfg Index                           47.8     49.1     51.2     51.7     52.1
ISM Nonmfg NMI                                   56.4     53.7     55.1     56.9
MNI Chicago Report             43.2     47.1     50.4     44.4     49.7     54.2
Phila Fed Mfg Index                     12.0     16.8     21.8      0.3     16.6
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         12.6      9.5      7.5     21.4      8.2     17.3
Empire State Index              4.0      2.0      4.8      4.3     -8.6     17.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                 -3       -2       -6       -1        0        4
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    -9        1      -12        2        7
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                     1.5      2.7     -6.3    -12.1     -5.3
Markit Mfg Index                        51.5     50.3     50.4     50.6     50.5
Markit Services Index                   50.9     50.7     53.0     51.5     50.9
Ind Production                         -0.4%    +0.8%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Capacity Util                          77.5%    77.9%    77.5%    77.8%    77.8%
Factory Orders                -0.1%    -0.1%    -0.1%     +1.4    +0.6%    -1.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport                      0.0%     0.0%              +0.3    +0.1%    +0.0%
Durables                       0.2%    -1.1%    +0.2%    +2.0%    +1.8%    -2.3%
Durables ex transport                  -0.3%    +0.5%    -0.4%    +0.8%    +0.4%
Nondurables                                              +0.8%    -0.7%    -0.3%
Mfg Shipments                                             -0.2     +0.1    +0.1%
Business Inventories            0.0      0.0     +0.4     +0.4     Flat    +0.3%
Factory                                                   +0.2    +0.1%    +0.2%
Retail                                  -0.1      0.8             -0.3%    +0.3%
Wholesale                                        +0.2     +0.2     Flat    +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.256    1.386    1.191    1.241    1.264
Building Permits (mn)                  1.387    1.425    1.336    1.232    1.299
NAHB Index                                68       66       65       64       66
New Home Sales (k)                       701      706      635      646      604
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.38     5.49     5.42     5.29     5.36
Pending Home Sales Index               108.7    107.1    105.6    108.3    105.4
Construct Spending                                0.1      0.1     -0.7    -0.5%
Private Residential                               0.9      0.6     -0.5     Flat
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$54.9   -$54.0   -$55.2   -$55.3
Exports (bn)                                   $207.9   $207.4   $206.3   $210.7
Imports (bn)                                   $262.8   $261.4   $261.5   $266.0
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$74.4   -$72.5   -$75.1   -$75.9
Leading Index                                   +0.0%    +0.5%    -0.1%    -0.1%
                                                Q3-19             Q2-19
GDP (chain-wt)                                  +1.9%             +2.0%
Final Sales                                     +2.0%             +3.0%
Chain prices                                    +2.4%             +2.4%
Current-dollar                                  +1.7%             +4.6%
                                                                  Q2-19
Nonfarm Productivity                                              +2.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                          +2.6%
                                                Q3-19             Q2-19
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.7%             +0.6%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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