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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Nov 1/17:06 EST Nov 1
Oct-19 Sep-19 Aug-19 Jul-19 Jun-19 May-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 210/214 206/213 211/213 208/219 219/215 228/220
wk 2 218/216 210/213 221/214 216/219 222/218 212/225
wk 3 213/215 215/213 211/215 207/213 217/219 212/221
wk 4 213/215 220/213 216/215 217/212 229/222 218/217
wk 5 218/215 219/217 211/213 222/223
Nonfarm Payrolls +128k +136k +168k +166k +193k +62k
Private Payrolls +180k +114k +122k +148k +179k +81k
Mfg Payroll -36k -2k +2k +16k +12k +2k
Unemployment 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.3 34.4 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.3 40.5 40.5 40.4 40.7 40.6
Aggr Hours Index 0.0% 0.0% +0.4% -0.2% +0.2% +0.1%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg -0.6% 0.0% +0.5% -0.6% +0.3% +0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.2% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3%
Final Demand PPI -0.3% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1%
excl food & energy -0.3% +0.3% -0.1% +0.3% +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade 0.0 +0.4% -0.1% Flat +0.4%
CPI +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.1%
Import Prices +0.2% -0.5% +0.2% -0.9% Flat
non-petro import prices 0.0 Flat -0.4% -0.3%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 49.7 46.0 45.1 47.9 53.2
PCE Price Index M/M 0.0% 0.0% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y 1.3% 1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M 0.0% 0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y 1.7% 1.8% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$200.3 -$119.7 -$200.3 -$119.7 -$8.5
Consumer Credit (bn) +$23.3 +$17.9 +$23.3 +$13.8 +$17.1
CB Consumer Confidence 125.1 135.1 135.8 124.3 131.3
Consumer Sentiment 89.8 98.4 98.2 100.0
Retail Sales -0.3% +0.4 +0.8% +0.4% +0.5%
excl motor vehicles 0.0 +1.0% +0.3% +0.5%
Personal Income +0.3% +0.4% +0.1% +0.4% +0.4%
Personal Spending +0.2% +0.1% +0.6% +0.3% +0.5%
ISM Mfg Index 47.8 49.1 51.2 51.7 52.1
ISM Nonmfg NMI 56.4 53.7 55.1 56.9
MNI Chicago Report 43.2 47.1 50.4 44.4 49.7 54.2
Phila Fed Mfg Index 12.0 16.8 21.8 0.3 16.6
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 12.6 9.5 7.5 21.4 8.2 17.3
Empire State Index 4.0 2.0 4.8 4.3 -8.6 17.8
KC Fed Mfg Index -3 -2 -6 -1 0 4
Richmond Fed Mfg Index -9 1 -12 2 7
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 1.5 2.7 -6.3 -12.1 -5.3
Markit Mfg Index 51.5 50.3 50.4 50.6 50.5
Markit Services Index 50.9 50.7 53.0 51.5 50.9
Ind Production -0.4% +0.8% -0.1% +0.1% +0.2%
Capacity Util 77.5% 77.9% 77.5% 77.8% 77.8%
Factory Orders -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% +1.4 +0.6% -1.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport 0.0% 0.0% +0.3 +0.1% +0.0%
Durables 0.2% -1.1% +0.2% +2.0% +1.8% -2.3%
Durables ex transport -0.3% +0.5% -0.4% +0.8% +0.4%
Nondurables +0.8% -0.7% -0.3%
Mfg Shipments -0.2 +0.1 +0.1%
Business Inventories 0.0 0.0 +0.4 +0.4 Flat +0.3%
Factory +0.2 +0.1% +0.2%
Retail -0.1 0.8 -0.3% +0.3%
Wholesale +0.2 +0.2 Flat +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.256 1.386 1.191 1.241 1.264
Building Permits (mn) 1.387 1.425 1.336 1.232 1.299
NAHB Index 68 66 65 64 66
New Home Sales (k) 701 706 635 646 604
Existing Homes (mn) 5.38 5.49 5.42 5.29 5.36
Pending Home Sales Index 108.7 107.1 105.6 108.3 105.4
Construct Spending 0.1 0.1 -0.7 -0.5%
Private Residential 0.9 0.6 -0.5 Flat
Trade Balance (bn) -$54.9 -$54.0 -$55.2 -$55.3
Exports (bn) $207.9 $207.4 $206.3 $210.7
Imports (bn) $262.8 $261.4 $261.5 $266.0
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$74.4 -$72.5 -$75.1 -$75.9
Leading Index +0.0% +0.5% -0.1% -0.1%
Q3-19 Q2-19
GDP (chain-wt) +1.9% +2.0%
Final Sales +2.0% +3.0%
Chain prices +2.4% +2.4%
Current-dollar +1.7% +4.6%
Q2-19
Nonfarm Productivity +2.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.6%
Q3-19 Q2-19
ECI (q/q) +0.7% +0.6%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.