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US DATA: Strong Beat For Payrolls And July Weak Patch Revised Away

US DATA
  • Payrolls growth was far stronger than expected in September at 254k (cons 150k) for a 104k surprise, nearly entirely driven by the 98k surprise for private payrolls (223k vs cons 125k).
  • Strong two-month revisions of 72k were mostly concentrated in the public sector with the private sector revised up by 21k.
  • The upward revisions in turn were concentrated in July rather than August, which is more positive than it sounds as it revises away what was a particularly weak patch - what was seen as 89k after last month’s revisions is now 144k for less sign of recent deterioration.
  • The three-month average for total payrolls is 186k and a six-month of 167k. 
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  • Payrolls growth was far stronger than expected in September at 254k (cons 150k) for a 104k surprise, nearly entirely driven by the 98k surprise for private payrolls (223k vs cons 125k).
  • Strong two-month revisions of 72k were mostly concentrated in the public sector with the private sector revised up by 21k.
  • The upward revisions in turn were concentrated in July rather than August, which is more positive than it sounds as it revises away what was a particularly weak patch - what was seen as 89k after last month’s revisions is now 144k for less sign of recent deterioration.
  • The three-month average for total payrolls is 186k and a six-month of 167k.