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US OUTLOOK/OPINION

SocGen Sees Big Unemp Rate Drop; JPM In Line On Job Gains

GBPUSD TECHS

Trend Direction Remains Down

FED

Reverse Repo Operation

COMMODITIES

Lumber Breaks Back Above Its 200DMA

BRAZIL

Precatorios Bill Comfortably Passes Senate Vote

US Economic Data Calendar

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Aug 8/17:06 EST Aug 8
--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
09-Aug 0700 **  04-Aug MBA Mortgage Applications               -2.8    --   %
09-Aug 0830 **  Q2     non-farm productivity (p)                0.0   0.8   %
09-Aug 0830 **  Q2     unit labor costs (p)                     2.2   1.1   %
09-Aug 1000 **  Jun    wholesale inventories                    0.6    --   %
09-Aug 1000 **  Jun    wholesale sales                         -0.5    --   %
09-Aug 1030 **  04-Aug crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w            -1.5    -- m bbl
09-Aug 1100 **  Jul    Kansas City Fed LMCI                    1.30    --
 
10-Aug 0830 **  05-Aug jobless claims                           240   240 k 
10-Aug 0830 *** Jul    Final Demand PPI                         0.1   0.2   %
10-Aug 0830 *** Jul    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.1   0.2   %
10-Aug 0830 *** Jul    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.2    --   %
10-Aug 0945 *   06-Aug Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
10-Aug 1030 **  04-Aug natural gas stocks w/w                   +20    --   Bcf
10-Aug 1400 **  Jul    Treasury budget balance                -90.2 -54.0 b USD
10-Aug 1630 **  09-Aug Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
11-Aug 0830 *** Jul    CPI                                      0.0   0.2   %
11-Aug 0830 *** Jul    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.1   0.2   %
11-Aug 1100 **  Q3     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
11-Aug 1115 **  Q3     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      +2.0    --   %
 
14-Aug 1100 **  Aug    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
 
15-Aug 0830 *** Jul    retail sales                            -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 0830 *** Jul    retail sales ex. motor vehicle          -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 0830 *** Jul    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas           -0.1    --   %
15-Aug 0830 **  Jul    imports price index                     -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 0830 **  Jul    exports price index                     -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 0830 **  Aug    Empire Manufacturing Index               9.8    --
15-Aug 0855 **  12-Aug Redbook retail sales m/m                -0.3    --   %
15-Aug 1000 *   Jun    business inventories                     0.3    --   %
15-Aug 1000 **  Aug    NAHB home builder index                   64    --
15-Aug 1600 **  Jun    net TICS flows                          57.3    -- b USD
15-Aug 1600 **  Jun    long term TICS flows                    65.8    -- b USD
 
16-Aug 0700 **  11-Aug MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
16-Aug 0830 *** Jul    housing starts                         1.215    -- m 
16-Aug 0830 *** Jul    building permits                       1.275    -- m 
16-Aug 0830 **  Aug    NY Fed Business Leaders Index           -0.7    --
16-Aug 1000 **  Aug    Atlanta Fed inflation                    1.7    --   %
 
17-Aug 0830 **  12-Aug jobless claims                            --    -- k 
17-Aug 0830 **  Aug    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              19.5    --
17-Aug 0915 *** Jul    industrial production                    0.4    --   %
17-Aug 0915 *** Jul    capacity utilization                    76.6    --   %
17-Aug 0945 *   13-Aug Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
17-Aug 1000 *   Q2     e-commerce retail sales                  4.1    --   %
17-Aug 1000 **  Jul    leading indicators                      +0.6    --   %
17-Aug 1030 **  11-Aug natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
17-Aug 1630 **  16-Aug Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
18-Aug 1000 *** Aug    Michigan sentiment index (p)            93.4    --
18-Aug 1000 *   Jul    BLS state payrolls                     314.7    -- k 
18-Aug 1000 *   Q2     Advance NSA Service Revenue               --    --   %
18-Aug 1100 **  Q3     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
18-Aug 1115 **  Q3     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
22-Aug 0830 **  Aug    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           23.4    --
22-Aug 0855 **  19-Aug Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
22-Aug 0900 **  Jun    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.4    --   %
22-Aug 0900 **  Q2     FHFA Quarterly Home Prices               1.4    --   %
22-Aug 1000 **  Aug    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    14    --
22-Aug 1500 *   Aug    Treasury Allotments (p)                   --    -- b USD
 
23-Aug 0700 **  18-Aug MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
23-Aug 0945 *** Aug    Markit Services Index (flash)           54.6    --
23-Aug 0945 *** Aug    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                53.3    --
23-Aug 1000 *** Jul    new home sales                         0.610    -- m 
23-Aug 1030 **  18-Aug crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
24-Aug 0830 **  19-Aug jobless claims                            --    -- k 
24-Aug 0945 *   20-Aug Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
24-Aug 1000 *   Jul    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
24-Aug 1000 *** Jul    existing home sales                     5.52    -- m 
24-Aug 1030 **  18-Aug natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
24-Aug 1100 **  Aug    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 10    --
24-Aug 1630 **  23-Aug Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
25-Aug 0830 **  Jul    durable goods new orders                +6.4    --   %
25-Aug 0830 **  Jul    durable new orders ex transport         +0.1    --   %
25-Aug 1100 **  Q3     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
25-Aug 1115 **  Q3     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
28-Aug 0830 **  Jul    advance goods trade gap                -63.9    -- b USD
28-Aug 0830 **  Jul    advance wholesale inventories           +0.6    --   %
28-Aug 0830 **  Jul    advance retail inventories              +0.6    --   %
28-Aug 1030 **  Aug    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          16.8    --
 
29-Aug 0855 **  26-Aug Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
29-Aug 0900 **  Jun    Case-Shiller Home Price Index           +0.1    --
29-Aug 1000 *** Aug    Conference Board confidence            121.1    --
29-Aug 1030 **  Aug    Dallas Fed services index               10.5    --
 
30-Aug 0700 **  25-Aug MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
30-Aug 0815 *** Jul    ADP private payrolls                     178    -- k 
30-Aug 0830 *** Q2     GDP (2nd)                                2.6    --   %
30-Aug 0830 *** Q2     GDP Price Index                          1.0    --   %
30-Aug 1000 *   Aug    help-wanted online ratio                1.18    --
30-Aug 1030 **  25-Aug crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
30-Aug 1500 *   Jul    farm prices                             -0.1    --   %
 
31-Aug 0730 *   Jul    challenger layoff plans                -37.6    --   %
31-Aug 0830 **  26-Aug jobless claims                            --    -- k 
31-Aug 0830 **  Jul    personal income                          0.0    --   %
31-Aug 0830 **  Jul    current dollar PCE                       0.1    --   %
31-Aug 0830 **  Jul    total PCE price index                    0.0    --   %
31-Aug 0830 **  Jul    core PCE price index                     0.1    --   %
31-Aug 0900 *   Aug    ISM-Milwaukee Mfg Index                56.98    --
31-Aug 0945 **  Aug    MNI Chicago PMI                         58.9    --
31-Aug 0945 *   27-Aug Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
31-Aug 1000 **  Jul    NAR pending home sales index           110.2    --
31-Aug 1030 **  25-Aug natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
31-Aug 1630 **  30-Aug Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
01-Sep  -   *** Aug    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR        12.9    -- m 
01-Sep 0830 *** Aug    nonfarm payrolls                         209    -- k 
01-Sep 0830 *** Aug    private payrolls                         205    -- k 
01-Sep 0830 *** Aug    unemployment rate                        4.3    --   %
01-Sep 0830 *** Aug    average hourly earnings                  0.3    --   %
01-Sep 0830 *** Aug    average workweek, all workers           34.5    --   hrs
01-Sep 0945 *** Aug    Markit Mfg Index (final)                  --    --
01-Sep 1000 *** Aug    ISM Manufacturing Index                 56.3    --
01-Sep 1000 *   Jul    construction spending                   -1.3    --   %
01-Sep 1000 *** Sep    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
01-Sep 1100 **  Q3     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
01-Sep 1115 **  Q3     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
05-Sep 0945 *   Aug    ISM-NY current conditions               62.8    --
05-Sep 1000 **  Jul    factory new orders                       3.0    --   %
05-Sep 1000 **  Jul    factory orders ex transport             -0.2    --   %
05-Sep 1000 **  Sep    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 52.2    --
05-Sep 1000 *   Aug    ETI                                    133.77   --
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]