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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(H1) Fragile Outlook

US TSYS SUMMARY

Curve Lower, Flatter as Yields Reverse Off Cycle Highs

US TSY/RECAP

Yield Curve Update

STIR FUTURES

Eurodollars Futures Snapshot

USDCAD TECHS

Consolidating

AUDUSD TECHS

Probes Key Support

US Economic Data Calendar

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 22:06 GMT Oct 31/18:06 EST Oct 31
--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01-Nov  -   *** Oct    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR        10.2    -- m 
01-Nov 0730 *   Oct    challenger layoff plans                 70.9    --   %
01-Nov 0830 **  27-Oct jobless claims                           215   215 k 
01-Nov 0830 **  Q3     non-farm productivity (p)                2.9   2.6   %
01-Nov 0830 **  Q3     unit labor costs (p)                    -1.0   0.6   %
01-Nov 0945 *** Oct    Markit Mfg Index (final)                55.9    --
01-Nov 0945 *   28-Oct Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
01-Nov 1000 *** Oct    ISM Manufacturing Index                 59.8  59.0
01-Nov 1000 *   Sep    construction spending                    0.1   0.1   %
01-Nov 1030 **  26-Oct natural gas stocks w/w                    58    --   Bcf
01-Nov 1630 **  31-Oct Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
02-Nov 0830 *** Oct    nonfarm payrolls                         134   190 k 
02-Nov 0830 *** Oct    private payrolls                         121   190 k 
02-Nov 0830 *** Oct    unemployment rate                        3.7   3.7   %
02-Nov 0830 *** Oct    average hourly earnings                  0.3   0.2   %
02-Nov 0830 *** Oct    average workweek, all workers           34.5  34.5   hrs
02-Nov 0830 **  Sep    trade balance                             -- -53.5 b USD
02-Nov 0945 *   Oct    ISM-NY current conditions               72.5    --
02-Nov 1000 **  Sep    factory new orders                       2.3   0.5   %
02-Nov 1000 **  Sep    factory orders ex transport              0.1    --   %
02-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
05-Nov 0945 *** Oct    Markit Services Index (final)           54.7    --
05-Nov 1000 *** Oct    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             61.6    --
05-Nov 1000 *   Oct    ETI                                    110.77   --
 
06-Nov 0855 **  03-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                 0.1    --   %
06-Nov 1000 **  Nov    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 57.8    --
06-Nov 1000 **  Sep    JOLTS job openings level                7136    -- k 
06-Nov 1000 **  Sep    JOLTS quits rate                         2.4    --   %
06-Nov 1500 *   Oct    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
07-Nov 0700 **  02-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications               -2.5    --   %
07-Nov 1030 **  02-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w            3.22    -- m bbl
07-Nov 1100 **  Oct    Kansas City Fed LMCI                    0.89    --
07-Nov 1500 *   Sep    consumer credit                         20.1    -- b USD
 
08-Nov 0830 **  03-Nov jobless claims                            --    -- k 
08-Nov 0945 *   04-Nov Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
08-Nov 1030 **  02-Nov natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
08-Nov 1630 **  07-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
09-Nov 0830 *** Oct    Final Demand PPI                         0.2    --   %
09-Nov 0830 *** Oct    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.2    --   %
09-Nov 0830 *** Oct    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.4    --   %
09-Nov 1000 *** Nov    Michigan sentiment index (p)            98.6    --
09-Nov 1000 **  Sep    wholesale inventories                    1.0    --   %
09-Nov 1000 **  Sep    wholesale sales                          0.8    --   %
09-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
13-Nov 0600 **  Oct    NFIB Small Business Index              107.9    --
13-Nov 0855 **  10-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
13-Nov 1100 **  Nov    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
13-Nov 1400 **  Oct    Treasury budget balance                119.1    -- b USD
 
14-Nov 0700 **  09-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
14-Nov 0830 *** Oct    CPI                                      0.1    --   %
14-Nov 0830 *** Oct    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.1    --   %
14-Nov 1000 **  Nov    Atlanta Fed inflation                    2.3    --   %
 
15-Nov 0830 **  10-Nov jobless claims                            --    -- k 
15-Nov 0830 **  Oct    imports price index                       --    --   %
15-Nov 0830 **  Oct    exports price index                       --    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    retail sales                             0.1    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    retail sales ex. motor vehicle          -0.1    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.0    --   %
15-Nov 0830 **  Nov    Empire Manufacturing Index                --    --
15-Nov 0830 **  Nov    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              22.2    --
15-Nov 0945 *   11-Nov Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
15-Nov 1000 *   Sep    business inventories                     0.5    --   %
15-Nov 1030 **  09-Nov natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
15-Nov 1100 **  09-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
15-Nov 1630 **  14-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
16-Nov 0830 **  Nov    NY Fed Business Leaders Index            9.4    --
16-Nov 0915 *** Oct    industrial production                    0.3    --   %
16-Nov 0915 *** Oct    capacity utilization                    78.1    --   %
16-Nov 1000 *   Q3     Advance NSA Service Revenue               --    --   %
16-Nov 1000 *   Oct    BLS state payrolls                        --    -- k 
16-Nov 1100 **  Nov    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                  8    --
16-Nov 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
16-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
16-Nov 1600 **  Sep    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
16-Nov 1600 **  Sep    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
19-Nov 1000 *   Q3     e-commerce retail sales                   --    --   %
19-Nov 1000 **  Nov    NAHB home builder index                 68.0    --
 
20-Nov 0830 *** Oct    housing starts                         1.201    -- m 
20-Nov 0830 *** Oct    building permits                       1.270    -- m 
20-Nov 0830 **  Nov    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           37.6    --
20-Nov 0855 **  17-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
 
21-Nov 0700 **  16-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
21-Nov 0830 **  17-Nov jobless claims                            --    -- k 
21-Nov 0830 **  Oct    durable goods new orders                 0.8    --   %
21-Nov 0830 **  Oct    durable new orders ex transport          0.1    --   %
21-Nov 1000 *** Nov    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
21-Nov 1000 *** Oct    existing home sales                     5.15    -- m 
21-Nov 1000 **  Oct    leading indicators                       0.5    --   %
21-Nov 1000 *   Q2     QCEW employment                           --    -- m 
21-Nov 1030 **  16-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
21-Nov 1200 **  16-Nov natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
21-Nov 1630 **  14-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
23-Nov 0945 *   18-Nov Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
23-Nov 0945 *** Nov    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                  --    --
23-Nov 0945 *** Nov    Markit Services Index (flash)             --    --
23-Nov 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
23-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
26-Nov 1030 **  Nov    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          29.4    --
 
27-Nov 0855 **  24-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
27-Nov 0900 **  Sep    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.3    --   %
27-Nov 0900 **  Q3     FHFA Quarterly Home Prices                --    --   %
27-Nov 0900 **  Sep    Case-Shiller Home Price Index            0.1    --
27-Nov 1000 *** Nov    Conference Board confidence            137.9    --
27-Nov 1030 **  Nov    Dallas Fed services index               14.1    --
 
28-Nov 0700 **  23-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
28-Nov 0830 *** Q3     GDP (2nd)                                3.5    --   %
28-Nov 0830 *** Q3     GDP Price Index                          1.7    --   %
28-Nov 0830 **  Oct    advance goods trade gap                   --    -- b USD
28-Nov 0830 **  Oct    advance wholesale inventories             --    --   %
28-Nov 0830 **  Oct    advance retail inventories                --    --   %
28-Nov 1000 *** Oct    new home sales                         0.553    -- m 
28-Nov 1000 *   Oct    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
28-Nov 1000 **  Nov    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    15    --
28-Nov 1030 **  23-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
 
 
     
 
 
 
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]