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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(H1) Fragile Outlook

US TSYS SUMMARY

Curve Lower, Flatter as Yields Reverse Off Cycle Highs

US TSY/RECAP

Yield Curve Update

STIR FUTURES

Eurodollars Futures Snapshot

USDCAD TECHS

Consolidating

AUDUSD TECHS

Probes Key Support

US Economic Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01-Nov  -   *** Oct    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR        14.2  13.7 m 
01-Nov 0700 **  27-Oct MBA Mortgage Applications               -4.6    --   %
01-Nov 0815 *** Oct    ADP private payrolls                     135    -- k 
01-Nov 0945 *** Oct    Markit Mfg Index (final)                54.5    --
01-Nov 1000 *** Oct    ISM Manufacturing Index                 60.8  59.5
01-Nov 1000 *   Sep    construction spending                    0.5   0.0   %
01-Nov 1000 *   Nov    help-wanted online ratio                1.21    --
01-Nov 1030 **  27-Oct crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w           +0.86    -- m bbl
 
02-Nov 0730 *   Oct    challenger layoff plans                -27.0    --   %
02-Nov 0830 **  28-Oct jobless claims                           233   235 k 
02-Nov 0830 **  Q3     non-farm productivity (p)                1.5   2.9   %
02-Nov 0830 **  Q3     unit labor costs (p)                     0.2   0.6   %
02-Nov 0945 *   Oct    ISM-NY current conditions               49.7    --
02-Nov 0945 *   29-Oct Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
02-Nov 1030 **  27-Oct natural gas stocks w/w                   +64    --   Bcf
02-Nov 1630 **  01-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
03-Nov 0830 **  Sep    trade balance                          -42.4 -43.5 b USD
03-Nov 0830 *** Oct    nonfarm payrolls                         -33   315 k 
03-Nov 0830 *** Oct    private payrolls                         -40   311 k 
03-Nov 0830 *** Oct    unemployment rate                        4.2   4.2   %
03-Nov 0830 *** Oct    average hourly earnings                  0.5   0.2   %
03-Nov 0830 *** Oct    average workweek, all workers           34.4  34.4   hrs
03-Nov 0945 *** Oct    Markit Services Index (final)           55.9    --
03-Nov 1000 *** Oct    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             59.8  58.6
03-Nov 1000 **  Sep    factory new orders                       1.2   1.2   %
03-Nov 1000 **  Sep    factory orders ex transport              0.4    --   %
03-Nov 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast          2.92    --   %
03-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                       1.6    --   %
 
06-Nov 1000 *   Oct    ETI                                    132.74   --
06-Nov 1500 *   Oct    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
07-Nov 0855 **  04-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                -1.3    --   %
07-Nov 1000 **  Nov    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 50.3    --
07-Nov 1000 **  Sep    JOLTS job openings level                6082    -- k 
07-Nov 1000 **  Sep    JOLTS quits rate                         2.1    --   %
07-Nov 1500 *   Sep    consumer credit                         13.1    -- b USD
07-Nov 1500 *   Oct    Treasury Allotments (final)               --    -- b USD
 
08-Nov 0700 **  03-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
08-Nov 1030 **  03-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
08-Nov 1100 **  Oct    Kansas City Fed LMCI                    0.50    --
 
09-Nov 0830 **  04-Nov jobless claims                            --    -- k 
09-Nov 0945 *   05-Nov Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
09-Nov 1000 **  Sep    wholesale inventories                    0.9    --   %
09-Nov 1000 **  Sep    wholesale sales                          1.7    --   %
09-Nov 1030 **  03-Nov natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
09-Nov 1630 **  08-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
10-Nov 1000 *** Nov    Michigan sentiment index (p)           100.7    --
10-Nov 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
10-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
13-Nov 1100 **  Nov    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
13-Nov 1400 **  Oct    Treasury budget balance                  8.0    -- b USD
 
14-Nov 0600 **  Oct    NFIB Small Business Index                103    --
14-Nov 0830 *** Oct    Final Demand PPI                         0.4    --   %
14-Nov 0830 *** Oct    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.4    --   %
14-Nov 0830 *** Oct    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.2    --   %
14-Nov 0855 **  11-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
 
15-Nov 0700 **  10-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    retail sales                             1.6    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           1.0    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.5    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    CPI                                      0.5    --   %
15-Nov 0830 *** Oct    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.1    --   %
15-Nov 0830 **  Nov    Empire Manufacturing Index              30.2    --
15-Nov 1000 *   Sep    business inventories                     0.7    --   %
15-Nov 1000 **  Nov    Atlanta Fed inflation                    1.8    --   %
15-Nov 1030 **  10-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
15-Nov 1600 **  Sep    net TICS flows                         125.0    -- b USD
15-Nov 1600 **  Sep    long term TICS flows                    67.2    -- b USD
 
16-Nov 0830 **  11-Nov jobless claims                            --    -- k 
16-Nov 0830 **  Oct    imports price index                      0.7    --   %
16-Nov 0830 **  Oct    exports price index                      0.8    --   %
16-Nov 0830 **  Nov    NY Fed Business Leaders Index            5.7    --
16-Nov 0830 **  Nov    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              27.9    --
16-Nov 0915 *** Oct    industrial production                    0.3    --   %
16-Nov 0915 *** Oct    capacity utilization                    76.0    --   %
16-Nov 0945 *   12-Nov Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
16-Nov 1000 **  Nov    NAHB home builder index                   68    --
16-Nov 1030 **  10-Nov natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
16-Nov 1630 **  15-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
17-Nov 0830 *** Oct    housing starts                         1.127    -- m 
17-Nov 0830 *** Oct    building permits                       1.225    -- m 
17-Nov 1000 *   Q3     e-commerce retail sales                  4.8    --   %
17-Nov 1000 *   Oct    BLS state payrolls                     -59.2    -- k 
17-Nov 1000 *   Q3     Advance NSA Service Revenue             +3.2    --   %
17-Nov 1100 **  Nov    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 23    --
17-Nov 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
17-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
20-Nov 1000 **  Oct    leading indicators                      -0.2    --   %
 
21-Nov 0830 **  Nov    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           32.2    --
21-Nov 0855 **  18-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
21-Nov 1000 *** Oct    existing home sales                     5.39    -- m 
 
22-Nov 0700 **  17-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
22-Nov 0830 **  18-Nov jobless claims                            --    -- k 
22-Nov 0830 **  Oct    durable goods new orders                 2.2    --   %
22-Nov 0830 **  Oct    durable new orders ex transport          0.7    --   %
22-Nov 1000 *** Nov    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
22-Nov 1030 **  17-Nov crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
22-Nov 1200 **  17-Nov natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
22-Nov 1500 *   Nov    Treasury Allotments (p)                   --    -- b USD
22-Nov 1630 **  15-Nov Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
24-Nov 0945 *** Nov    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                  --    --
24-Nov 0945 *** Nov    Markit Services Index (flash)             --    --
24-Nov 0945 *   19-Nov Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
24-Nov 1100 **  Q4     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
24-Nov 1115 **  Q4     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
27-Nov 1000 *** Oct    new home sales                          .667    -- m 
27-Nov 1030 **  Nov    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          27.6    --
 
28-Nov 0830 **  Oct    advance goods trade gap                -64.1    -- b USD
28-Nov 0830 **  Oct    advance wholesale inventories           +0.3    --   %
28-Nov 0830 **  Oct    advance retail inventories              -1.0    --   %
28-Nov 0855 **  25-Nov Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
28-Nov 0900 **  Sep    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.7    --   %
28-Nov 0900 **  Q3     FHFA Quarterly Home Prices               1.6    --   %
28-Nov 0900 **  Sep    Case-Shiller Home Price Index            0.5    --
28-Nov 1000 *   Oct    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
28-Nov 1000 **  Nov    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    12    --
28-Nov 1000 *** Nov    Conference Board confidence            125.9    --
28-Nov 1030 **  Nov    Dallas Fed services index               18.6    --
 
29-Nov 0700 **  24-Nov MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
29-Nov 0830 *** Q3     GDP (2nd)                                3.0    --   %
29-Nov 0830 *** Q3     GDP Price Index                          2.2    --   %
29-Nov 1000 **  Oct    NAR pending home sales index           106.0    --
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]