MNI: GERMANY OCT EXPORTS -2.8% M/M (VS FCST -2.6%)

MNI BRIEF: BOJ Tankan: Business Inflation Expectations Solid

MNI BRIEF: RBA Details Hypothetical Monetary Policy Paths

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY14.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1876 Fri; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI BOJ DEC TANKAN LARGE MFG INDEX +14; SEPT 13; MEDIAN +12

MNI: SPAIN NOV HICP +0% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y

MNI: FRANCE NOV HICP -0.1% M/M, +1.7% Y/Y

MNI: SWEDEN NOV UNEMPLOYMENT 7.4%

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

US: Key Indicators Have Shifted Towards Harris Since Assuming Dem Nomination

US
USGlobalHomepagemarkets-real-timePolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange BulletsRegionNorth America

Ipsos has published analysis showing that numerous key indicators, including polling averages, confidence on handling the economy, and favourability have all shifted in favour of Harris since she assumed the Democratic Party presidential nomination.

  • Ipsos: “No indicators swing towards Trump. Even if some indicators don’t favor Harris, importantly, none have swung towards Trump since Harris took over. On the other hand, indicators like mentions and betting odds have swung towards Harris as she makes some inroads on the economy.”
  • Ipsos concludes: “Even so, the race seems to be settling in and it is incredibly close. The national polls and the swing state polls have remained stable. Harris seemingly has an advantage in the popular vote, but with the swing states having razor-thin margins, the Electoral College is seeming more like a toss-up.”

Figure 1: Change in Key Indicators Since Harris Assumed Nomination

Keep reading...Show less
140 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

Ipsos has published analysis showing that numerous key indicators, including polling averages, confidence on handling the economy, and favourability have all shifted in favour of Harris since she assumed the Democratic Party presidential nomination.

  • Ipsos: “No indicators swing towards Trump. Even if some indicators don’t favor Harris, importantly, none have swung towards Trump since Harris took over. On the other hand, indicators like mentions and betting odds have swung towards Harris as she makes some inroads on the economy.”
  • Ipsos concludes: “Even so, the race seems to be settling in and it is incredibly close. The national polls and the swing state polls have remained stable. Harris seemingly has an advantage in the popular vote, but with the swing states having razor-thin margins, the Electoral College is seeming more like a toss-up.”

Figure 1: Change in Key Indicators Since Harris Assumed Nomination

Keep reading...Show less