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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                            Sep-17   Aug-17    Jul-17   Jun-17   May-17   Apr-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                       298/250  244/241   250/244  245/242  238/243  235/250
wk 2                                232/241   248/246  238/243  236/244  234/247
wk 3                                235/238   234/244  242/245  233/241  243/243
wk 4                                236/237   245/244  244/242  235/236  257/242
wk 5                                          241/242           255/240
Nonfarm Payrolls                      +156k     +189k    +210k    +145k    +207k
Private Payrolls                      +165k     +202k    +207k    +153k    +194k
Mfg Payroll                            +36k      +26k     +21k     Flat      +9k
Unemployment                           4.4%      4.3%     4.4%     4.3%     4.4%
Avg Wkly Hours                         34.4      34.5     34.5     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                        40.7      40.9     40.8     40.7     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                      -0.2%     +0.2%    +0.5%    -0.2%    +0.8%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                  -0.2%     +0.5%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%
Avg Hourly Earnings                   +0.1%     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                                -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.6%
excl food & energy                              -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.5%
excl food, energy, trade                         Flat    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.7%
CPI                                              +0.1     Flat    -0.1%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                               +0.1    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import Prices                                    +0.1    -0.2%    -0.1%    +0.2%
non-petro import prices                          Flat    +0.1%     Flat    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                62.0      62.0     55.0     60.5     68.5
Core PCE Price Index                            +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Treasury Budget (bn)                            -42.9   -$90.2   -$88.4  +$182.4
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$18.5   +$11.8   +$18.3   +$12.3
CB Consumer Confidence                122.9     120.0    117.3    117.6    119.4
Consumer Sentiment                     96.8      93.4     95.1     97.1     97.0
Car Sales, saar (mn)                    4.0       4.2      4.0      4.2      4.3
Truck Sales, saar (mn)                  8.3       8.7      8.8      8.5      8.6
Total, saar (mn)                       12.3      12.9     12.8     12.7     12.9
Retail Sales                                    +0.6%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%
excl motor vehicles                             +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.2%    +0.3%
Personal Income                                 +0.4%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%
Personal Spending                               +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index                          58.8      56.3     57.8     54.9     54.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI                         55.3      53.9     57.4     56.9     57.5
MNI Chicago Report                     58.9      58.9     65.7     59.4     58.3
Phila Fed Mfg Index                    18.9      19.5     27.6     38.8     22.0
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                 31.8      23.4     33.6     25.6     30.1
Empire State Index                     25.2       9.8     19.8     -1.0      5.2
Markit Mfg Index                       52.8      53.3     52.0     52.7     52.8
Markit Services Index                  55.3      54.6     54.2     53.6     53.1
Ind Production                                  +0.2%    +0.4%     Flat    +0.9%
Capacity Util                                   76.7%    76.7%    76.5%    76.5%
Factory Orders                                  -3.3%    +3.2%    -0.3%    -0.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.1%     Flat
Durables                                        -6.8%    +6.4%     Flat    -0.8%
Durables ex transport                           +0.6%     Flat    +0.8%    -0.4%
Nondurables                                     +0.4%    +0.2%    -0.6%    +0.2%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%     Flat
Business Inventories                                     +0.5%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Factory                                         +0.2%     +0.3    -0.2%     Flat
Retail                                       -0.2%(a)    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.2%
Wholesale                                        +0.6    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.5%
Housing Starts (mn)                             1.155    1.213    1.129    1.154
Building Permits (mn)                           1.230    1.275    1.168    1.228
NAHB Index                               68        64       66       69       68
New Home Sales (k)                                571      630      618      577
Existing Homes (mn)                              5.44     5.51     5.62     5.56
Pending Home Sales Index                        109.1    110.0    108.6    109.4
Construct Spending                              -0.6%    -1.4%    +1.6%    -1.8%
Private Residential                             +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.7%    -0.4%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$43.7   -$43.5   -$46.4   -$47.6
Exports (bn)                                   $194.4   $194.9   $192.3   $191.2
Imports (bn)                                   $238.1   $238.5   $238.7   $238.8
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$63.9   -$63.9   -$66.3   -$68.4
Leading Index                                   +0.3%    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.2%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +3.0%             +1.2%
Final Sales                                              +3.0%             +2.7%
Chain prices                                             +1.0%             +2.0%
Current-dollar                                           +4.0%             +3.3%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +1.5%             +0.1%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +0.2%             +4.8%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.5%             +0.8%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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