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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Market News Topics
March 21, 2018 14:45 GMT
US: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Mar 21/16:06 EST Mar 21
Mar-18 Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 230/222 223/225 261/251 236/242 239/231 244/258
wk 2 226/222 229/228 216/244 225/235 252/239 223/249
wk 3 220/226 231/240 245/236 240/240 234/240
wk 4 210/221 230/235 247/238 238/242 229/233
wk 5 250/242
Nonfarm Payrolls +313k +239k +175k +216k +271k
Private Payrolls +287k +238k +174k +217k +277k
Mfg Payroll +31k +25k +39k +30k +20k
Unemployment 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.4 34.5 34.5 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 41.0 40.8 40.8 40.9 40.9
Aggr Hours Index +0.6% -0.1% +0.2% +0.5% +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.6% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.4%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.1% +0.3% +0.4% +0.3% -0.2%
Final Demand PPI +0.2% +0.4% Flat +0.4% +0.5%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.4% -0.1% +0.2% +0.5%
excl food, energy, trade +0.4% +0.4% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3%
CPI +0.2% +0.5% +0.2% +0.3% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2%
Import Prices +0.4% +0.8% +0.2% +1.0% +0.2%
non-petro import prices +0.5% +0.5% -0.1% +0.2% Flat
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 74.2 72.7 69.0 65.5 68.5
PCE Price Index M/M +0.4% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.6%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$215.2 +$49.2 -$23.2 -$138.5 -$63.2
Consumer Credit (bn) +$13.9 +$19.2 +$30.9 +$22.8
CB Consumer Confidence 130.8 124.3 123.1 128.6 126.2
Consumer Sentiment 102.0 99.7 95.7 95.9 98.5 100.7
Car Sales, saar (mn) 3.9 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4
Truck Sales, saar (mn) 8.9 9.0 9.5 9.0 9.4
Total, saar (mn) 12.8 12.8 13.6 13.3 13.8
Retail Sales -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% +0.8% +0.7%
excl motor vehicles +0.2% +0.1% Flat +1.2% +0.5%
Personal Income +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.4%
Personal Spending +0.2% +0.4% +0.7% +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index 60.8 59.1 59.3 58.2 58.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI 59.5 59.9 56.0 57.3 59.8
MNI Chicago Report 61.9 65.7 67.8 65.6 65.4
Phila Fed Mfg Index 22.3 25.8 22.2 27.9 24.3 28.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 30.1 31.0 19.5 29.4 25.6 33.4
Empire State Index 22.5 13.1 17.7 19.6 20.9 28.1
KC Fed Mfg Index 17 16 13 15 22
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 28 14 20 30 12
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 37.2 33.4 29.7 19.4 27.6
Markit Mfg Index 55.3 55.5 55.1 53.9 54.6
Markit Services Index 55.9 53.3 53.7 54.5 55.3
Ind Production +1.1% -0.3% +0.5% +0.3% +1.7%
Capacity Util 78.1% 77.7% 77.8% 77.5% 77.3%
Factory Orders -1.4% +1.8% +1.7% +0.4%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.4% +0.9% +1.1% +1.2%
Durables -3.6% +2.7% +1.7% -0.4%
Durables ex transport -0.3% +0.8% +0.4% +1.4%
Nondurables +0.8% +0.9% +1.6% +1.1%
Mfg Shipments +0.6% +0.7% +1.4% +0.8%
Business Inventories +0.6% +0.6% +0.4% Flat
Factory +0.3% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3%
Retail +0.7% +0.3% +0.2% Flat
Wholesale +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% -0.4%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.236 1.329 1.207 1.299 1.261
Building Permits (mn) 1.298 1.377 1.300 1.303 1.316
NAHB Index 70 71 72 74 69 68
New Home Sales (k) 593 643 696 616
Existing Homes (mn) 5.54 5.38 5.56 5.72 5.50
Pending Home Sales Index 104.6 109.8 109.8 109.4
Construct Spending Flat +0.8% +1.2% +0.1%
Private Residential +0.3% -0.5% +1.2% -1.0%
Trade Balance (bn) -$56.6 -$53.9 -$50.9 -$49.1
Exports (bn) $200.9 $203.6 $200.2 $195.7
Imports (bn) $257.5 $257.5 $251.1 $244.8
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$76.5 -$73.7 -$71.1 -$69.5
Leading Index +1.0% +0.6% +0.4% +1.3%
Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt) +2.5% +3.2% +3.1%
Final Sales +3.3% +2.4% +2.9%
Chain prices +2.3% +2.1% +1.0%
Current-dollar +4.9% +5.3% +4.1%
Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity Flat +2.7% +1.5%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.5% -0.1% +0.3%
Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
ECI (q/q) +0.6% +0.7% +0.5%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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