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Free AccessUS: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Mar 25/17:06 EST Mar 25
Mar-19 Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 230/224 235/225 216/222 206/225 221/217 215/210
wk 2 221/225 239/232 212/221 217/223 224/219 210/212
wk 3 217/236 200/215 221/220 234/223 216/212
wk 4 226/229 253/220 233/219 231/228 215/214
wk 5 223/226 214/214
Nonfarm Payrolls +20k +311k +227k +196k +277k
Private Payrolls +25k +308k +224k +200k +285k
Mfg Payroll +4k +21k +20k +27k +29k
Unemployment 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.5 34.5 34.4 34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.7 40.8 40.9 40.8 40.8
Aggr Hours Index -0.3% +0.3% +0.5% -0.2% +0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg -0.2% Flat +0.3% +0.2% Flat
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.4% +0.1% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2%
Final Demand PPI +0.1% -0.1% -0.1% +0.1% +0.5%
excl food & energy +0.1% +0.3% Flat +0.3% +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade +0.1% +0.2% Flat +0.3% +0.1%
CPI +0.2% Flat Flat Flat +0.3%
excl food & energy +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2%
Import Prices +0.6 +0.1% -1.4% -1.6% +0.5%
non-petro import prices +0.1% -0.6% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 49.6 54.9 60.7 71.6
PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% Flat +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.7% +1.8% +2.0%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.2% +0.1%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.7% +1.8% +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn) +$8.7 -$13.5 -$204.9 -$100.5
Consumer Credit (bn) +$17.0 +$15.4 +$22.1 +$25.4
CB Consumer Confidence 131.4 121.7 126.6 136.4 137.9
Consumer Sentiment 93.8 91.2 98.3 97.5 98.6
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.7
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn) 4.6 5.0 4.9 4.9
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 7.1 7.5 7.4 7.6
Retail Sales +0.2% -1.6% Flat +1.0%
excl motor vehicles +0.9% -2.1% -0.1% +0.8%
Personal Income -0.1% +1.0% +0.3% +0.5%
Personal Spending -0.5% +0.6% +0.7%
ISM Mfg Index 54.2 56.6 54.3 58.8 57.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI 59.7 56.7 58.0 60.4 60.0
MNI Chicago Report 64.7 56.7 63.8 63.5 59.4
Phila Fed Mfg Index 13.7 -4.1 17.0 9.1 11.9 19.7
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 10.0 1.0 7.7 35.5 34.7
Empire State Index 3.7 3.9 11.5 21.4 20.0
KC Fed Mfg Index 1 5 6 17 10
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 16 -2 -8 14 15
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 8.3 13.1 1.0 -5.1 17.6 29.4
Markit Mfg Index 52.5 53.0 54.9 53.8 55.4 55.7
Markit Services Index 54.8 56.0 54.2 54.4 54.7 54.8
Ind Production +0.1% -0.4% +0.1% +0.6% +0.3%
Capacity Util 78.2% 78.3% 78.7% 78.8% 78.4%
Factory Orders +0.1% +0.1% -0.5% -2.1%
Factory Orders ex
transport -0.2% -0.5% -1.3% +0.2%
Durables +0.3% +1.3% +0.9% -4.3%
Durables ex transport -0.2% +0.3% -0.2% +0.4%
Nondurables -0.2% -1.1% -2.0% +0.1%
Mfg Shipments -0.2% -0.2% +1.0% -0.3%
Business Inventories +0.6% Flat +0.6%
Factory Flat -0.1% +0.2%
Retail +0.9% -0.4% +0.8%
Wholesale +1.2% +1.1% +0.4% +0.9%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.230 1.037 1.206 1.209
Building Permits (mn) 1.317 1.326 1.322 1.265
NAHB Index 62 62 58 56 60 60
New Home Sales (k) 607 652 628 549
Existing Homes (mn) 5.51 4.93 5.00 5.21 5.22
Pending Home Sales Index 99.0 101.2 102.1
Construct Spending +1.3% -0.8% -1.3% +0.2%
Private Residential -0.3% -1.9% -0.6% -0.7%
Trade Balance (bn) -$59.8 -$50.3 -$56.3
Exports (bn) +$205.1 +$209.1 +$210.4
Imports (bn) +$264.8 +$259.4 +$266.7
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$81.5 -$72.6 -$78.9
Leading Index -0.1% +0.2% -0.3%
Q4-18
GDP (chain-wt) +2.6%
Final Sales +2.5%
Chain prices +1.8%
Current-dollar +4.6%
Q4-18
Nonfarm Productivity +1.9%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.0%
Q4-18
ECI (q/q) +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.