Free Trial

US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                            Mar-18   Feb-18    Jan-18   Dec-17   Nov-17   Oct-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                       230/222  223/225   261/251  236/242  239/231  244/258
wk 2                       226/222  229/228   216/244  225/235  252/239  223/249
wk 3                                220/226   231/240  245/236  240/240  234/240
wk 4                                210/221   230/235  247/238  238/242  229/233
wk 5                                                   250/242
Nonfarm Payrolls                      +313k     +239k    +175k    +216k    +271k
Private Payrolls                      +287k     +238k    +174k    +217k    +277k
Mfg Payroll                            +31k      +25k     +39k     +30k     +20k
Unemployment                           4.1%      4.1%     4.1%     4.1%     4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours                         34.5      34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                        41.0      40.8     40.8     40.9     40.9
Aggr Hours Index                      +0.6%     -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                  +0.6%     +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.4%
Avg Hourly Earnings                   +0.1%     +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Final Demand PPI                                +0.4%     Flat    +0.4%    +0.5%
excl food & energy                              +0.4%    -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%
excl food, energy, trade                        +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%
CPI                                   +0.2%     +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                    +0.2%     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Import Prices                         +0.4%     +0.8%    +0.2%    +1.0%    +0.2%
non-petro import prices               +0.5%     +0.5%    -0.1%    +0.2%     Flat
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                74.2      72.7     69.0     65.5     68.5
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.7%    +1.7%    +1.7%    +1.6%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn)                -$215.2    +$49.2   -$23.2  -$138.5   -$63.2
Consumer Credit (bn)                                    +$18.5   +$31.0   +$23.0
CB Consumer Confidence                130.8     124.3    123.1    128.6    126.2
Consumer Sentiment                     99.7      95.7     95.9     98.5    100.7
Car Sales, saar (mn)                    3.9       3.8      4.1      4.3      4.4
Truck Sales, saar (mn)                  8.9       9.0      9.5      9.0      9.4
Total, saar (mn)                       12.8      12.8     13.6     13.3     13.8
Retail Sales                                    -0.3%     Flat    +0.8%    +0.7%
excl motor vehicles                              Flat    +0.1%    +1.2%    +0.5%
Personal Income                                 +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.4%
Personal Spending                               +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index                          60.8      59.1     59.3     58.2     58.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI                         59.5      59.9     56.0     57.3     59.8
MNI Chicago Report                     61.9      65.7     67.8     65.6     65.4
Phila Fed Mfg Index           22.3     25.8      22.2     27.9     24.3     28.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                 31.0      19.5     29.4     25.6     33.4
Empire State Index            22.5     13.1      17.7     19.6     20.9     28.1
KC Fed Mfg Index                         17        16       13       15       22
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                   28        14       20       30       12
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                   37.2      33.4     29.7     19.4     27.6
Markit Mfg Index                       55.3      55.5     55.1     53.9     54.6
Markit Services Index                  55.9      53.3     53.7     54.5     55.3
Ind Production                                  -0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +1.7%
Capacity Util                                   77.5%    77.7%    77.5%    77.3%
Factory Orders                                  -1.4%    +1.8%    +1.7%    +0.4%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.4%    +0.9%    +1.1%    +1.2%
Durables                                        -3.6%    +2.7%    +1.7%    -0.4%
Durables ex transport                           -0.3%    +0.8%    +0.4%    +1.4%
Nondurables                                     +0.8%    +0.9%    +1.6%    +1.1%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.6%    +0.7%    +1.4%    +0.8%
Business Inventories                                     +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat
Factory                                         +0.3%    +0.7%    +0.5%    +0.3%
Retail                                       +0.8%(a)    +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat
Wholesale                                       +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.6%    -0.4%
Housing Starts (mn)                             1.326    1.209    1.299    1.261
Building Permits (mn)                           1.377    1.300    1.303    1.316
NAHB Index                      70       72        72       74       69       68
New Home Sales (k)                                593      643      696      616
Existing Homes (mn)                              5.38     5.56     5.72     5.50
Pending Home Sales Index                        104.6    109.8    109.8    109.4
Construct Spending                               Flat    +0.8%    +1.2%    +0.1%
Private Residential                             +0.3%    -0.5%    +1.2%    -1.0%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$56.6   -$53.9   -$50.9   -$49.1
Exports (bn)                                   $200.9   $203.6   $200.2   $195.7
Imports (bn)                                   $257.5   $257.5   $251.1   $244.8
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$76.5   -$73.7   -$71.1   -$69.5
Leading Index                                   +1.0%    +0.6%    +0.4%    +1.3%
                                                         Q4-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +2.5%
Final Sales                                              +3.3%
Chain prices                                             +2.3%
Current-dollar                                           +4.9%
                                                         Q4-17
Nonfarm Productivity                                      Flat
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +2.5%
                                                         Q4-17
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.6%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.