US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                            Mar-18   Feb-18    Jan-18   Dec-17   Nov-17   Oct-17

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UI Claims/4wk avg

wk 1                       230/222  223/225   261/251  236/242  239/231  244/258

wk 2                       226/222  229/228   216/244  225/235  252/239  223/249

wk 3                                220/226   231/240  245/236  240/240  234/240

wk 4                                210/221   230/235  247/238  238/242  229/233

wk 5                                                   250/242

Nonfarm Payrolls                      +313k     +239k    +175k    +216k    +271k

Private Payrolls                      +287k     +238k    +174k    +217k    +277k

Mfg Payroll                            +31k      +25k     +39k     +30k     +20k

Unemployment                           4.1%      4.1%     4.1%     4.1%     4.1%

Avg Wkly Hours                         34.5      34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4

Avg Hours - Mfg                        41.0      40.8     40.8     40.9     40.9

Aggr Hours Index                      +0.6%     -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.5%

Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                  +0.6%     +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.4%

Avg Hourly Earnings                   +0.1%     +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.3%    -0.2%

Final Demand PPI                                +0.4%     Flat    +0.4%    +0.5%

excl food & energy                              +0.4%    -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%

excl food, energy, trade                        +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%

CPI                                   +0.2%     +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.1%

excl food & energy                    +0.2%     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%

Import Prices                         +0.4%     +0.8%    +0.2%    +1.0%    +0.2%

non-petro import prices               +0.5%     +0.5%    -0.1%    +0.2%     Flat

ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                74.2      72.7     69.0     65.5     68.5

PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%

PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.7%    +1.7%    +1.7%    +1.6%

Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%

Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.5%    +1.5%

Treasury Budget (bn)                -$215.2    +$49.2   -$23.2  -$138.5   -$63.2

Consumer Credit (bn)                                    +$18.5   +$31.0   +$23.0

CB Consumer Confidence                130.8     124.3    123.1    128.6    126.2

Consumer Sentiment                     99.7      95.7     95.9     98.5    100.7

Car Sales, saar (mn)                    3.9       3.8      4.1      4.3      4.4

Truck Sales, saar (mn)                  8.9       9.0      9.5      9.0      9.4

Total, saar (mn)                       12.8      12.8     13.6     13.3     13.8

Retail Sales                                    -0.3%     Flat    +0.8%    +0.7%

excl motor vehicles                              Flat    +0.1%    +1.2%    +0.5%

Personal Income                                 +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.4%

Personal Spending                               +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.3%

ISM Mfg Index                          60.8      59.1     59.3     58.2     58.5

ISM Nonmfg NMI                         59.5      59.9     56.0     57.3     59.8

MNI Chicago Report                     61.9      65.7     67.8     65.6     65.4

Phila Fed Mfg Index           22.3     25.8      22.2     27.9     24.3     28.8

Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                 31.0      19.5     29.4     25.6     33.4

Empire State Index            22.5     13.1      17.7     19.6     20.9     28.1

KC Fed Mfg Index                         17        16       13       15       22

Richmond Fed Mfg Index                   28        14       20       30       12

Dallas Fed Mfg Index                   37.2      33.4     29.7     19.4     27.6

Markit Mfg Index                       55.3      55.5     55.1     53.9     54.6

Markit Services Index                  55.9      53.3     53.7     54.5     55.3

Ind Production                                  -0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +1.7%

Capacity Util                                   77.5%    77.7%    77.5%    77.3%

Factory Orders                                  -1.4%    +1.8%    +1.7%    +0.4%

Factory Orders ex

transport                                       +0.4%    +0.9%    +1.1%    +1.2%

Durables                                        -3.6%    +2.7%    +1.7%    -0.4%

Durables ex transport                           -0.3%    +0.8%    +0.4%    +1.4%

Nondurables                                     +0.8%    +0.9%    +1.6%    +1.1%

Mfg Shipments                                   +0.6%    +0.7%    +1.4%    +0.8%

Business Inventories                                     +0.4%    +0.4%     Flat

Factory                                         +0.3%    +0.7%    +0.5%    +0.3%

Retail                                       +0.8%(a)    +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat

Wholesale                                       +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.6%    -0.4%

Housing Starts (mn)                             1.326    1.209    1.299    1.261

Building Permits (mn)                           1.377    1.300    1.303    1.316

NAHB Index                      70       72        72       74       69       68

New Home Sales (k)                                593      643      696      616

Existing Homes (mn)                              5.38     5.56     5.72     5.50

Pending Home Sales Index                        104.6    109.8    109.8    109.4

Construct Spending                               Flat    +0.8%    +1.2%    +0.1%

Private Residential                             +0.3%    -0.5%    +1.2%    -1.0%

Trade Balance (bn)                             -$56.6   -$53.9   -$50.9   -$49.1

Exports (bn)                                   $200.9   $203.6   $200.2   $195.7

Imports (bn)                                   $257.5   $257.5   $251.1   $244.8

Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$76.5   -$73.7   -$71.1   -$69.5

Leading Index                                   +1.0%    +0.6%    +0.4%    +1.3%

                                                         Q4-17

GDP (chain-wt)                                           +2.5%

Final Sales                                              +3.3%

Chain prices                                             +2.3%

Current-dollar                                           +4.9%

                                                         Q4-17

Nonfarm Productivity                                      Flat

Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +2.5%

                                                         Q4-17

ECI (q/q)                                                +0.6%

(a) advance report

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com

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