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US: Recap of Economic Indicators
Jul-18 Jun-18 May-18 Apr-18 Mar-18 Feb-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 215/223 222/226 211/216 233/230 230/225 223/228
wk 2 208/221 221/225 223/214 233/232 226/223 234/230
wk 3 217/218 218/221 234/220 209/229 227/225 218/227
wk 4 218/215 228/222 223/223 211/222 218/225 217/223
wk 5 232/225 242/228
Nonfarm Payrolls +157k +248k +244k +175k +155k +324k
Private Payrolls +170k +234k +239k +174k +153k +321k
Mfg Payroll +37k +33k +19k +28k +21k +31k
Unemployment 3.9% 4.0% 3.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.6 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.9 40.9 40.8 41.0 40.9 41.0
Aggr Hours Index -0.2% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.6%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.2% +0.4% -0.3% +0.5% -0.1% +1.0%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.3% +0.2% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1%
Final Demand PPI Flat +0.3% +0.5% +0.1% +0.3% +0.2%
excl food & energy +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.3% +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade +0.3% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.4% +0.4%
CPI +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% -0.1% +0.2%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
Import Prices -0.4% +0.6% +0.6% -0.2% +0.2%
non-petro import prices -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% Flat +0.4%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 73.2 76.8 79.5 79.3 78.1 74.2
PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +2.2% +2.2% +2.0% +2.1% +1.9%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +2.0% +1.7%
Treasury Budget (bn) -74.9 -$146.8 +$214.3 -$208.7 -$215.2
Consumer Credit (bn) +$10.2 +$24.5 +$10.2 +$8.7 +$11.9
CB Consumer Confidence 127.4 126.4 128.8 125.6 127.0 130.0
Consumer Sentiment 99.3 98.0 98.8 101.4 99.7
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn) 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3
Truck Sales (Ex GM), Saar
(mn) 6.9 7.2 6.9 6.9 7.0 6.7
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn) 9.9 10.3 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.0
Retail Sales +0.5% +0.8% +0.4% +0.7% +0.1%
excl motor vehicles +0.4% +0.9% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4%
Personal Income +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.4% +0.3%
Personal Spending +0.4% +0.5% +0.6% +0.6% -0.1%
ISM Mfg Index 58.1 60.2 58.7 57.3 59.3 60.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI 55.7 59.1 58.6 56.8 58.8 59.5
MNI Chicago Report 65.5 64.1 62.7 57.6 57.4 61.9
Phila Fed Mfg Index 25.7 19.9 34.4 23.2 22.3 25.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 44.3 39.1 45.3 27.6 30.1 31.0
Empire State Index 22.6 25.0 20.1 15.8 22.5 13.1
KC Fed Mfg Index 23 28 29 26 17 17
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 20 21 16 -3 15 28
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 32.3 36.5 26.8 21.8 22.8 38.4
Markit Mfg Index 55.3 55.4 56.4 56.5 55.6 55.3
Markit Services Index 56.0 56.5 56.8 54.6 54.0 55.9
Ind Production +0.6% -0.5% +1.1% +0.5% +0.4%
Capacity Util 78% 77.7% 78.2% 77.5% 77.2%
Factory Orders +0.7% +0.4% -0.4% +1.7% +2.0%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.4% +0.7% +0.9% +0.5% +0.3%
Durables +1.5% -0.4% -1.0% +2.7% +4.5%
Durables ex transport +0.5% Flat +1.9% +0.5% +1.3%
Nondurables +0.5% +1.1% +0.3% +0.6% -0.3%
Mfg Shipments +1.0% +0.6% +0.1% +0.7% +0.3%
Business Inventories +0.4% +0.3% -0.1% +0.6%
Factory +0.1% +0.2% +0.4% +0.2% +0.3%
Retail +0.4% +0.4% -0.7% +.6
Wholesale +0.1% +0.3% +0.1% +0.2% +0.8%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.173 1.337 1.276 1.327 1.29
Building Permits (mn) 1.292 1.301 1.364 1.377 1.323
NAHB Index 68 68 70 68 70 71
New Home Sales (k) 631 666 641 672 663
Existing Homes (mn) 5.38 5.41 5.45 5.60 5.54
Pending Home Sales Index 106.9 105.9 106.4 107.6 107.2
Construct Spending -1.1% +1.3% +1.7% -0.9% +2.3%
Private Residential -0.5% +1.3% 3.1% -2.4% +3.4%
Trade Balance (bn) -$46.3 -$43.2 -$46.1 -$47.2 -$55.5
Exports (bn) +$213.8 +$215.3 +$211.2 +$210.7 +$206.1
Imports (bn) +$260.2 +$258.3 +$257.3 +$257.9 +$261.6
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$68.8 -$65.7 -$68.3 -$69.3 -$76.7
Leading Index +0.2% +0.4% +0.4% +0.7%
Q2-18 Q1-18 Q4-17 Q3-17
GDP (chain-wt) +4.1% +2.2% +2.3% +2.8%
Final Sales +5.1% +1.9% +3.2% +1.8%
Chain prices +3.0% +2.0% +2.5% +2.2%
Current-dollar +7.4% +4.3% +5.1% +4.8%
Q1-18 Q4-17 Q3-17
Nonfarm Productivity +0.4% +0.3% +2.6%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.9% +2.1% +1.0%
Q2-18 Q1-18 Q4-17 Q3-17
ECI (q/q) +0.6% +0.8% +0.6% +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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