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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Market News Topics
February 21, 2019 18:51 GMT
US: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 22:06 GMT Feb 21/17:06 EST Feb 21
Feb-19 Jan-19 Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 235/225 216/222 206/225 221/217 215/210 204/208
wk 2 239/232 212/221 217/223 224/219 210/212 202/206
wk 3 216/236 200/215 221/220 234/223 216/212 215/206
wk 4 253/220 233/219 231/228 215/214 207/207
wk 5 214/214
Nonfarm Payrolls +304k +222k +196k +277k +108k
Private Payrolls +296k +206k +200k +285k +108k
Mfg Payroll +13k +20k +27k +29k +18k
Unemployment 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 3.7%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.8 40.8 40.8 40.8 40.9
Aggr Hours Index +0.3% +0.5% -0.2% +0.3% Flat
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg -0.1% +0.3% +0.2% Flat -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.1% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% +0.3%
Final Demand PPI -0.1% -0.1% +0.1% +0.5% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade +0.2% Flat +0.3% +0.1% +0.3%
CPI Flat Flat Flat +0.3% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2%
Import Prices -0.5% -1.0% -1.7% +0.5% +0.1%
non-petro import prices -0.7% +0.3% Flat +0.2% +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 49.6 54.9 60.7 71.6 66.9
PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.2% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.8% +2.0% +2.0%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.1% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.9% +1.8% +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$13.5 -$204.9 -$100.5 +$119.1
Consumer Credit (bn) +$22.1 +$25.4 +$10.9
CB Consumer Confidence 120.2 126.6 136.4 137.9 135.3
Consumer Sentiment 91.2 98.3 97.5 98.6 100.1
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.5
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn) 4.6 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.3
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn) 7.1 7.5 7.4 7.6 7.8
Retail Sales -1.2% +0.1% +1.0% -0.2%
excl motor vehicles -1.8% Flat +0.8% -0.3%
Personal Income +0.2% +0.5% +0.2
Personal Spending +0.3% +0.6% Flat
ISM Mfg Index 56.6 54.3 58.8 57.5 59.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI 56.7 58.0 60.4 60.0 60.8
MNI Chicago Report 56.7 63.8 63.5 59.4 61.5
Phila Fed Mfg Index -4.1 17.0 9.1 11.9 19.7 21.4
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 1.0 7.7 35.5 34.7 35.8
Empire State Index 3.9 11.5 21.4 20.0 18.8
KC Fed Mfg Index 5 6 17 10 13
Richmond Fed Mfg Index -2 -8 14 15 29
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 1.0 -5.1 17.6 29.4 28.1
Markit Mfg Index 54.9 53.8 55.4 55.7 55.6
Markit Services Index 54.2 54.4 54.7 54.8 53.5
Ind Production -0.6% +0.1% +0.6% +0.3% +0.1%
Capacity Util 78.2% 78.8% 78.9% 78.4% 78.4%
Factory Orders -0.6% -2.1% +0.2%
Factory Orders ex
transport -1.3% +0.2% +0.1%
Durables +1.2% +1.0% -4.3% Flat
Durables ex transport +0.1% -0.2% +0.4% -0.5%
Nondurables -1.9% +0.1% +0.5%
Mfg Shipments -0.1% +0.7%
Business Inventories -0.1% +0.6% +0.5%
Factory -0.1% +0.2% +0.6%
Retail -0.4% +0.8% +0.1%
Wholesale +0.3% +0.9% +0.7%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.256 1.217 1.237
Building Permits (mn) 1.322 1.265 1.270
NAHB Index 58 56 60 60 68
New Home Sales (k) 657 562 597
Existing Homes (mn) 4.94 5.00 5.21 5.22 5.18
Pending Home Sales Index 99.0 101.2 102.1 104.8
Construct Spending +0.8% +0.1% -1.8%
Private Residential 3.5% -1.1% -2.0%
Trade Balance (bn) -$49.3 -$55.7 -$54.6
Exports (bn) +$209.9 +$211.2 +$211.4
Imports (bn) +$259.2 +$266.9 +$266.0
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$71.6 -$78.3 -$77.3
Leading Index -0.1% +0.2% -0.3% +0.5%
Q3-18
GDP (chain-wt) +3.5%
Final Sales +1.2%
Chain prices +1.7%
Current-dollar +5.0%
Q3-18
Nonfarm Productivity +2.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +0.9%
Q4-18 Q3-18
ECI (q/q) +0.7% +0.8%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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