US: Trump Retains Lead On Economy And Border Security, WSJ

A new Wall Street Journalsurvey of the seven swing states shows that Trump is "better equipped" than Harris to handle the issues voters care about most - the economy and border security - "yet [voters] are divided about evenly over which candidate should lead the nation.”

• The Journal notes that the survey, “finds Harris with slim leads in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia on ballots that include independent and third-party candidates where they will be offered as options. Trump has a narrow edge in Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. But no lead is greater than 2 percentage points, except for Trump’s 5-point advantage in Nevada, which like the others is within the poll’s margin of error.”
• The Journal concludes: “Across the full set of 4,200 swing-state voters, Trump gets 46% support and Harris draws 45%. The survey finds that the race in every state—and therefore the presidential election—is too close to call. If Harris wins the states where she leads in the poll, she would win a narrow majority in the Electoral College.”
• Note: The survey is based on a sample of registered voters rather than likely voters. Some analysis has shown that data from registered voters can offer skewed results in an election where turnout is likely to be a major issue. 

Figure 1: Swing State Polls, Registered Voters