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Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 2-8 December
MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Targets BRICS w/New Tariff Threat
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR MAR 12
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USJ USM TYJ TYM FVH FVJ EDH EDJ
THU 1500 30.46% 24.17% 12.96% 10.81% 6.43% 5.18% N/A 188.80%
1200 32.31% 25.62% 13.95% 11.62% 6.93% 5.70% N/A 203.05%
1000 34.70% 27.12% 15.20% 13.31% 8.02% 6.25% N/A 183.50%
THU OPEN 37.05% 26.05% 16.55% 11.98% 8.86% 6.14% N/A 188.63%
WED 1600 25.95% 19.96% 11.05% 9.07% 6.18% 4.68% N/A 174.35%
WED OPEN 24.72% 19.80% 10.47% 8.95% 5.80% 4.58% 101.35% 163.15%
TUE 1500 27.07% 20.33% 11.88% 9.47% 7.11% 5.04% 123.50% 144.25%
TUE OPEN 25.75% 20.01% 11.10% 10.20% 6.75% 5.05% 112.40% 142.75%
MON 1500 36.19% 25.55% 15.91% 11.62% 8.14% 5.77% 138.25% 150.85%
MON OPEN 35.06% 22.86% 15.41% 10.45% 8.47% 5.60% 183.85% 208.54%
FRI 1500 23.25% 16.24% 10.24% 7.47% 5.58% 3.98% 147.75% 165.25%
THU 1500 12.07% 10.48% 6.44% 5.48% 4.24% 3.29% 82.50% 137.50%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
APR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 73,445 UNCH 129.50 P 87,261 -391
JUN20 10Y NOTE 139.00 C 60,441 -100 129.00 P 75,624 -225
APR20 5Y NOTE 121.25 C 37,652 -1 119.50 P 90,862 UNCH
JUN20 5Y NOTE 126.25 C 206,070 +100 113.00 P 199,571 +74
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.50 C 9,858 UNCH 107.50 P 23,000 UNCH
JUN20 2Y NOTE 110.00 C 22,260 UNCH 106.50 P 41,126 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.50 C 412,403 UNCH 98.00 P 395,629 UNCH
APR20 EURODLR 99.62 C 219,178 -18,256 98.25 P 238,096 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 211,353 -21,402 98.38 P 162,009 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 63,219 UNCH 98.25 P 98,983 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 52,969 UNCH 98.12 P 38,842 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
APR20 10Y NOTE 138.00 C 45,412 -29 138.00 P 8,884 +1,146
APR20 10Y NOTE 138.50 C 10,349 +250 138.50 P 631 UNCH
JUN20 10Y NOTE 138.00 C 59,704 +5,739 138.00 P 8,557 +2,165
JUN20 10Y NOTE 138.50 C 42,156 +252 138.50 P 2,887 -17
APR20 5Y NOTE 124.75 C 30,037 +2,003 124.75 P 5,766 UNCH
APR20 5Y NOTE 125.00 C 18,216 +3,504 125.00 P 79 UNCH
JUN20 5Y NOTE 124.75 C 12,413 -131 124.75 P 3,559 +19
JUN20 5Y NOTE 125.00 C 202,831 +100 125.00 P 4,978 +464
APR20 2Y NOTE 110.00 C 2,603 UNCH 110.00 P 6 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 110.12 C 138 UNCH 110.12 P 128 +2
JUN20 2Y NOTE 110.00 C 22,260 UNCH 110.00 P 109 +1
JUN20 2Y NOTE 110.12 C 1,614 UNCH 110.12 P 0 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 99.12 C 185,845 -10,407 99.12 P 25,265 -100
MAR20 EURODLR 99.25 C 221,813 -7,248 99.25 P 7,836 +3,385
APR20 EURODLR 99.38 C 142,964 -2,535 99.38 P 9,083 +2,535
APR20 EURODLR 99.50 C 110,705 -22,053 99.50 P 4,862 +1,191
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.50 C 52,278 -2,000 99.50 P 161,397 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.62 C 20,110 -4,008 99.62 P 143,762 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 99.38 C 8,320 -750 99.38 P 4,150 +450
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 99.50 C 6,440 -4,974 99.50 P 0 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 99.12 C 5,104 UNCH 99.12 P 1,454 +500
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 99.25 C 2,317 UNCH 99.25 P 1,550 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
APR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.09 (135,913 PUTS VS. 123,759 CALLS)
JUN20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.12 (152,106 PUTS VS. 135,377 CALLS)
APR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.20 (7,965 PUTS VS. 37,886 CALLS)
JUN20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.39 (46,423 PUTS VS. 33,482 CALLS)
APR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 4.64 (2,952 PUTS VS. 635 CALLS)
JUN20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.01 (97 PUTS VS. 25,633 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.15 (35,340 PUTS VS. 233,806 CALLS)
APR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.06 (23,792 PUTS VS. 343,360 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.02 (1,200 PUTS VS. 48,844 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.07 (950 PUTS VS. 12,190 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.77 (1,550 PUTS VS. 2,000 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
Thu 1500 73.46 168.32 111.65 136.05 83.61 68.31
1200 80.58 171.04 113.85 143.37 85.43 70.43
1000 76.89 173.57 107.86 141.15 85.55 70.23
Thu Open 71.04 168.72 107.85 132.83 82.24 68.68
Wed 1600 67.48 141.77 97.28 119.11 78.46 67.34
Wed Open 65.85 138.72 92.50 115.21 71.66 64.21
Tue 1500 65.46 139.89 92.57 114.32 70.65 63.89
Tue Open 78.65 158.45 105.20 126.55 69.61 63.05
Mon 1500 80.32 157.31 109.93 130.90 69.77 63.01
Mon Open 89.26 141.21 109.24 115.31 72.61 63.59
Fri 1500 76.64 117.62 96.54 99.22 68.18 62.89
Thu 1500 79.66 99.03 84.82 85.77 66.60 62.51
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.