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Free AccessUS TSYS: FI STRONGER/CURVE FLATTER ON HEAVY DEBT ISSUANCE
US TSY SUMMARY: Futures trading higher across the curve by the bell, just off
top end of late session highs on light early week volume. Curve flattening
theme w/long-end outperforming
- US$ index softer (DXY -.211, 89.882); equities mildly higher (emini +2.25,
2791.0); gold near steady (XAU +.25, 1323.55); West Texas crude weaker (WTI
-.68, 41.36).
- Quiet start to week, light volume (TYM<830k), Little economic data to trade
Monday, mkt busy absorbing condensed Tsy issuance ($28B 3Y and $21B 10Y r/o
today, $13B 30Y r/o Tuesday). Salient data Wed: retail sales (+0.4% est).
- Pre-auction and dal-tied hedging helped generate some volume.
Late ylds: 2Y 2.262%, 3Y 2.425%, 5Y 2.635%, 7Y 2.790%, 10Y 2.868%, 30Y 3.130%
US TSY FUTURES: Higher across the curve, just off top end of late session highs
on light early week volume. Little economic data to trade Monday, mkt busy
absorbing condensed Tsy issuance ($28B 3Y and $21B 10Y r/o today, $13B 30Y r/o
Tuesday). Salient data Wed: retail sales (+0.4% est). Curves flatten, latest
curve update:
* 2s10s -3.154, 60.017 (63.684H/59.834L);
* 2s30s -3.458, 86.142 (90.026H/86.060L);
* 5s30s -1.529, 49.085 (50.590H/48.698L);
Current futures levels:
* Jun Ultra bonds up 27/32 at 156-01 (154-25L/156-01H)
* Jun 30-yr Bond futures up 20/32 at 143-24 (142-27L/143-26H)
* Jun 10-yr futures up 5.5/32 at 120-06.5 (119-28.5L/120-07H)
* Jun 5-yr futures up 2.75/32 at 114-01.75 (113-28.75L/114-02H)
* Jun 2-yr futures up .25/32 at 106-08 (106-07L/106-08.5H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trade steady/mixed by the bell, short end under
pressure all day. Current White pack (Mar'18-Dec'18):
* Mar'18 -0.012 at 97.840
* Jun'18 -0.015 at 97.715
* Sep'18 -0.020 at 97.605
* Dec'18 -0.015 at 97.465
* Red pack (Mar'19-Dec'19) steady to -0.005
* Green pack (Mar'20-Dec'20) steady to +0.010
* Blue pack (Mar'21-Dec'21) +0.010-0.015
* Gold pack (Mar'22-Dec'22) +0.015
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N -0.0019 to 1.4450 (-0.0006 last wk)
* 1 Month +0.0146 to 1.7649% (+0.0598 last wk)
* 3 Month +0.0182 to 2.1069% (+0.0635 last wk)
* 6 Month +0.0181 to 2.2867% (+0.0402 last wk)
US SWAPS: Spds running wider across the curve, short end leading move, deal-tied
hedging adding to move, still waiting for supply to price for hedges to be
unwound. Latest spread levels:
* 2Y +1.06/31.50
* 5Y +1.00/14.75
* 10Y +0.62/3.12
* 30Y +0.69/-15.31
PIPELINE: Multiple Launches $5.3B Campbell 7-tranche, $2.25B CBA and $1.75B
Standard Chrtrd lead
Date $MM Issuer/Rating/Desc/Maturity/Yld/Leads; Priced *; Launch #:
03/12 $5.3B #Campbell 7-tranche
$500M 2Y FRN L+50
$350M 3Y fix, +90, $400M 3Y FRN L+63
$1.2B 5Y +105, $850M 7Y +120, $1.2B 5Y +105, $1B 10Y +130, $700M 30Y +170,
03/12 $2.25B #Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) 5Y fix and/or FRN, 10Y fix
03/12 $1.75B #Standard Chartered Plc $1.25B 6NC5 +125, $500M 15NC10 +200
03/12 $1.5B #Caterpillar $450M 3Y fix +50, $450M FRN L+23, $250M Tap of CAT 3.25
+78
03/12 $650M #Fifth Third Bancorp 10Y +110
03/12 $500M #Toyota Ind, $500M 5Y +60, $500M 10Y +70
03/12 $1.25B Valeant Pharmaceuticals, 8NC4 Sr notes
03/12 $Benchmark Asian Development Bank (ADB) 5Y +11a
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Mar 13 Feb NFIB Small Business Index (106.9, --) 0600ET
- Mar 13 Feb CPI (0.5%, 0.2%) 0830ET
- Mar 13 Feb CPI Ex Food and Energy (0.3%, 0.2%) 0830ET
- Mar 13 10-Mar Redbook retail sales m/m (-0.5%, --) 0855ET
- Mar 13 US Tsys 4W bill auction 1130ET
- Mar 13 US Tsys $13B 30Y Bond auction Re-open 1130ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* -10,000 Apr 77/Jun 78 call squash, 4.5 net/put over
* -4,000 Green Jun 66/68 put spds, 4.5 vs. 97.09/0.10%
* +7,500 Green Dec 66/70 put strip, 33.5
* +5,000 Green Mar 70/71 call over risk reversals, 1.5
* +5,000 Red Jun 66/70 7x2 put spds, 1.5
* +15,000 short Apr 71 puts, 2.0 vs. 97.265/0.24%
* +16,000 Mar 78 puts, 4.0 vs. 97.837/0.75%
* +7,500 Dec 71/72 3x1 put strip, 12.0
* +5,300 Green Dec 66/70 put strip, 33.5 vs. 97.045/0.67%
* 2,500 Green Jun 71 straddles, 30.5
Block, 1007:51ET
* +10,000 short Jun 70/72 put spds 4.0 over the short Jun 75 calls
* -7,700 short Jun 70/75 call over risk reversals, 1.5 vs. 97.255/0.40%.
Meanwhile, CME Group post-dates another
* +25,000 short Mar 75 calls Blocked at cab, total just over 75,100 includes
Globex buys
* +20,000 Sep 73/75 put spds, 3.5
* -2,500 Mar 70/712x1 put spds, 4.0
* +2,750 Green Jun 66/67/72/73 put condors, 8.0 w/
* +2,750 short May 68/70/73/75 put condors, 8.5 16.5 total
* +10,000 Dec Dec 72/77 put over risk reversals, 0.0
* -12,500 Red Dec 65/70 2x1 put spds, 7.0
* +15,000 Green Apr 67/68 put spds, 1.5 vs. -5,000 Green Mar 70/71 2x1 put spds,
3.75
* 10,000 Apr 76/77 put strip 7.5 vs. Jun 78 calls, 2.0 vs. 5,200 EDM 97.71
* -12,500 Red Dec 67/70 2x1 put spds, 7.0
* +15,000 Green Apr 67/68 put spds, 1.5 vs. -5,000 Green Mar 70/71 2x1 put spds,
3.75
* 5,000 Apr 76/77 put strip 7.5 vs. Jun 78 calls, 2.0 vs. 5,200 EDM 97.71
* 2,000 Green Mar 70/71 2x1 put spds, 4.0
* 3,200 Green Jun 66/67/68 put flys screen
* screen, 38,000 short Jun 70/72 put spds
* Ongoing, over +10,000 (pit/screen) short Jun 70/71 put spd buy 1.5 over short
Jun 75/76 call spd, adds to +40k Block earlier and +15k on Fri at 1.0
* total 50,000 short Mar 75 calls, cab, includes 24.5k Block
Earlier Block:
* +24.5k Mar8 mid-curve (0EH8) 97.50 calls at 0.5 blocked at 0945GMT
Block:
* Jun8 mid-curve (0EM8) 97.125/97.00 put spread vs 97.50/97.625 call spread
blocked at 1.5 in total of 40k vs EDM9 @ 97.26 -- ongoing, adds to +15k at 1.0
on Fri
Tsy options, Pit/screen:
* 2,000 TYJ 120 straddles, 45/64
* 2,500 TYK 121/121.5 call spds, 7/64 earlier
Block, 1016ET, was bid at post time, now 21/64 bid
* -19,733 TYJ 120 puts, 20/64 vs. 120-03.5/0.45%, closer
* +7,500 FVJ 114.7 calls, 2/64 on screen
* over 19,000 TYJ 119.5 puts, 13/64
* 1,100 TYJ 119.5/120 put spds, 13/64 vs. 119-30
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.