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US TSYS: FI STRONGER/CURVE FLATTER ON HEAVY DEBT ISSUANCE

US TSY SUMMARY: Futures trading higher across the curve by the bell, just off
top end of late session highs on light early week volume.  Curve flattening
theme w/long-end outperforming
- US$ index softer (DXY -.211, 89.882); equities mildly higher (emini +2.25,
2791.0); gold near steady (XAU +.25, 1323.55); West Texas crude weaker (WTI
-.68, 41.36).
- Quiet start to week, light volume (TYM<830k), Little economic data to trade
Monday, mkt busy absorbing condensed Tsy issuance ($28B 3Y and $21B 10Y r/o
today, $13B 30Y r/o Tuesday). Salient data Wed: retail sales (+0.4% est).
- Pre-auction and dal-tied hedging helped generate some volume.
Late ylds: 2Y 2.262%, 3Y 2.425%, 5Y 2.635%, 7Y 2.790%, 10Y 2.868%, 30Y 3.130%
US TSY FUTURES: Higher across the curve, just off top end of late session highs
on light early week volume. Little economic data to trade Monday, mkt busy
absorbing condensed Tsy issuance ($28B 3Y and $21B 10Y r/o today, $13B 30Y r/o
Tuesday). Salient data Wed: retail sales (+0.4% est). Curves flatten, latest
curve update:
* 2s10s -3.154, 60.017 (63.684H/59.834L);
* 2s30s -3.458, 86.142 (90.026H/86.060L);
* 5s30s -1.529, 49.085 (50.590H/48.698L);
Current futures levels:
* Jun Ultra bonds up 27/32 at 156-01 (154-25L/156-01H)
* Jun 30-yr Bond futures up 20/32 at 143-24 (142-27L/143-26H)
* Jun 10-yr futures up 5.5/32 at 120-06.5 (119-28.5L/120-07H)
* Jun 5-yr futures up 2.75/32 at 114-01.75 (113-28.75L/114-02H)
* Jun 2-yr futures up .25/32 at 106-08 (106-07L/106-08.5H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trade steady/mixed by the bell, short end under
pressure all day. Current White pack (Mar'18-Dec'18):
* Mar'18 -0.012 at 97.840
* Jun'18 -0.015 at 97.715
* Sep'18 -0.020 at 97.605
* Dec'18 -0.015 at 97.465
* Red pack (Mar'19-Dec'19) steady to -0.005
* Green pack (Mar'20-Dec'20) steady to +0.010
* Blue pack (Mar'21-Dec'21) +0.010-0.015
* Gold pack (Mar'22-Dec'22) +0.015
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N -0.0019 to 1.4450 (-0.0006 last wk)
* 1 Month +0.0146 to 1.7649% (+0.0598 last wk)
* 3 Month +0.0182 to 2.1069% (+0.0635 last wk)
* 6 Month +0.0181 to 2.2867% (+0.0402 last wk)
US SWAPS: Spds running wider across the curve, short end leading move, deal-tied
hedging adding to move, still waiting for supply to price for hedges to be
unwound. Latest spread levels:
* 2Y  +1.06/31.50
* 5Y  +1.00/14.75
* 10Y +0.62/3.12
* 30Y +0.69/-15.31
PIPELINE: Multiple Launches $5.3B Campbell 7-tranche, $2.25B CBA and $1.75B
Standard Chrtrd lead
Date $MM Issuer/Rating/Desc/Maturity/Yld/Leads; Priced *; Launch #:
03/12 $5.3B #Campbell 7-tranche
      $500M 2Y FRN L+50
      $350M 3Y fix, +90, $400M 3Y FRN L+63
      $1.2B 5Y +105, $850M 7Y +120, $1.2B 5Y +105, $1B 10Y +130, $700M 30Y +170,
03/12 $2.25B #Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) 5Y fix and/or FRN, 10Y fix
03/12 $1.75B #Standard Chartered Plc $1.25B 6NC5 +125, $500M 15NC10 +200
03/12 $1.5B #Caterpillar $450M 3Y fix +50, $450M FRN L+23, $250M Tap of CAT 3.25
+78
03/12 $650M #Fifth Third Bancorp 10Y +110
03/12 $500M #Toyota Ind, $500M 5Y +60, $500M 10Y +70
03/12 $1.25B Valeant Pharmaceuticals, 8NC4 Sr notes
03/12 $Benchmark Asian Development Bank (ADB) 5Y +11a
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate): 
- Mar 13 Feb NFIB Small Business Index (106.9, --) 0600ET
- Mar 13 Feb CPI (0.5%, 0.2%) 0830ET
- Mar 13 Feb CPI Ex Food and Energy (0.3%, 0.2%) 0830ET
- Mar 13 10-Mar Redbook retail sales m/m (-0.5%, --) 0855ET
- Mar 13 US Tsys 4W bill auction 1130ET
- Mar 13 US Tsys $13B 30Y Bond auction Re-open 1130ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* -10,000 Apr 77/Jun 78 call squash, 4.5 net/put over
* -4,000 Green Jun 66/68 put spds, 4.5 vs. 97.09/0.10%
* +7,500 Green Dec 66/70 put strip, 33.5
* +5,000 Green Mar 70/71 call over risk reversals, 1.5
* +5,000 Red Jun 66/70 7x2 put spds, 1.5
* +15,000 short Apr 71 puts, 2.0 vs. 97.265/0.24%
* +16,000 Mar 78 puts, 4.0 vs. 97.837/0.75%
* +7,500 Dec 71/72 3x1 put strip, 12.0
* +5,300 Green Dec 66/70 put strip, 33.5 vs. 97.045/0.67%
* 2,500 Green Jun 71 straddles, 30.5
Block, 1007:51ET
* +10,000 short Jun 70/72 put spds 4.0 over the short Jun 75 calls
* -7,700 short Jun 70/75 call over risk reversals, 1.5 vs. 97.255/0.40%.
Meanwhile, CME Group post-dates another
* +25,000 short Mar 75 calls Blocked at cab, total just over 75,100 includes
Globex buys
* +20,000 Sep 73/75 put spds, 3.5
* -2,500 Mar 70/712x1 put spds, 4.0
* +2,750 Green Jun 66/67/72/73 put condors, 8.0 w/
* +2,750 short May 68/70/73/75 put condors, 8.5 16.5 total
* +10,000 Dec Dec 72/77 put over risk reversals, 0.0
* -12,500 Red Dec 65/70 2x1 put spds, 7.0
* +15,000 Green Apr 67/68 put spds, 1.5 vs. -5,000 Green Mar 70/71 2x1 put spds,
3.75
* 10,000 Apr 76/77 put strip 7.5 vs. Jun 78 calls, 2.0 vs. 5,200 EDM 97.71
* -12,500 Red Dec 67/70 2x1 put spds, 7.0
* +15,000 Green Apr 67/68 put spds, 1.5 vs. -5,000 Green Mar 70/71 2x1 put spds,
3.75
* 5,000 Apr 76/77 put strip 7.5 vs. Jun 78 calls, 2.0 vs. 5,200 EDM 97.71
* 2,000 Green Mar 70/71 2x1 put spds, 4.0
* 3,200 Green Jun 66/67/68 put flys screen
* screen, 38,000 short Jun 70/72 put spds
* Ongoing, over +10,000 (pit/screen) short Jun 70/71 put spd buy 1.5 over short
Jun 75/76 call spd, adds to +40k Block earlier and +15k on Fri at 1.0
* total 50,000 short Mar 75 calls, cab, includes 24.5k Block
Earlier Block: 
* +24.5k Mar8 mid-curve (0EH8) 97.50 calls at 0.5 blocked at 0945GMT
Block: 
* Jun8 mid-curve (0EM8) 97.125/97.00 put spread vs 97.50/97.625 call spread
blocked at 1.5 in total of 40k vs EDM9 @ 97.26 -- ongoing, adds to +15k at 1.0
on Fri
Tsy options, Pit/screen:
* 2,000 TYJ 120 straddles, 45/64
* 2,500 TYK 121/121.5 call spds, 7/64 earlier
Block, 1016ET, was bid at post time, now 21/64 bid
* -19,733 TYJ 120 puts, 20/64 vs. 120-03.5/0.45%, closer
* +7,500 FVJ 114.7 calls, 2/64 on screen 
* over 19,000 TYJ 119.5 puts, 13/64 
* 1,100 TYJ 119.5/120 put spds, 13/64 vs. 119-30
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]

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