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US TSYS: Tsys Futures Edge Higher, Volumes Low With Asia Out

US TSYS
  • Global rates are slightly higher, most of Asia out for a public holiday, with both JGBs & US tsys trading closed for the session. Tsys futures jumped slightly higher on the open, before paring some gains. TYZ4 is back to trading near session highs, however volumes have been on the low side.
  • TUZ4 is outperforming +00⅞ at 104-11⅛ while TYZ4 is + 01 at 115-14+.
  • The trend in TYZ4 is higher with the latest pullback is considered corrective. Wednesday’s initial rally resulted in a print above key resistance and the bull trigger at 115-19, the Aug 5 high. The move higher confirms a resumption of the uptrend and paves the way for a climb towards the 116.00 handle. MA studies remain in a bull-mode position with firm support is seen at 114-19, the 20-day EMA.
  • Projected rate hikes through year end firmer vs. late Thursday levels (*) : Sep'24 cumulative -38.1bp (-31.5bp), Nov'24 cumulative -76.6bp (-68.6bp), Dec'24 -117.4bp (-107.5bp).
  • Slow start to the week ahead with Empire Manufacturing early Monday, Tuesday Retail Sales while focus will turn to Wednesday's FOMC announcement
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  • Global rates are slightly higher, most of Asia out for a public holiday, with both JGBs & US tsys trading closed for the session. Tsys futures jumped slightly higher on the open, before paring some gains. TYZ4 is back to trading near session highs, however volumes have been on the low side.
  • TUZ4 is outperforming +00⅞ at 104-11⅛ while TYZ4 is + 01 at 115-14+.
  • The trend in TYZ4 is higher with the latest pullback is considered corrective. Wednesday’s initial rally resulted in a print above key resistance and the bull trigger at 115-19, the Aug 5 high. The move higher confirms a resumption of the uptrend and paves the way for a climb towards the 116.00 handle. MA studies remain in a bull-mode position with firm support is seen at 114-19, the 20-day EMA.
  • Projected rate hikes through year end firmer vs. late Thursday levels (*) : Sep'24 cumulative -38.1bp (-31.5bp), Nov'24 cumulative -76.6bp (-68.6bp), Dec'24 -117.4bp (-107.5bp).
  • Slow start to the week ahead with Empire Manufacturing early Monday, Tuesday Retail Sales while focus will turn to Wednesday's FOMC announcement