October 17, 2024 01:23 GMT
US TSYS: Tsys Futures Edges Slightly Lower, Curve Steepens
US TSYS
- Tsys futures have seen a small move lower over the past hour, which could be linked to the strong AU employment data, however futures still trade within Wednesday's ranges.
- On what was a quiet day for US data on Wednesday, futures initially pushed higher after softer-than-expected September UK inflation numbers while large block flows ($520k/DV01 10-year buyer and a $555k/DV01 5-year buyer) also supported the bid tone.
- Cash tsy curve has bear-steepened this morning, yields are +0.5bps to 2bps higher. The 2yr is trading +0.7bps at 3.944%, while the 10yr is +1.8bps at 4.03%. The 2s10s was little changed on Wednesday trading at 8.1bps.
- Fed fund futures are pricing in 23.6bps or 95% chance of a cut at the November meeting, and 45.5bps of cuts by the December meeting both little changed over the past few sessions.
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