October 30, 2024 10:50 GMT
US TSYS: Underperforming A Strong Pre-Budget Gilts Rally
US TSYS
- Treasuries have pushed higher ahead of important US data, having faded some stronger European data with perhaps greater spillover from a strong rally in Gilts ahead of a highly anticipated UK Budget.
- Cash yields are 1.5-3.8bp lower on the day, flattening with 2s10s down to 14bps (-2bp) back near lows for the week.
- TYZ4 trades at 111-02 (+10) off an earlier 111-04+, on strong cumulative volumes of 465k that have kicked relatively higher in London hours. Resistance is seen at 111-14 (Oct 25 high) whilst the bounce is deemed corrective with support at 110-09+ (Oct 29 low).
- Today’s macro focus is on ADP employment before the Q3 advance release for GDP/PCE. Another heavy earnings slate sees additional attention, albeit headlined by both Microsoft and Meta after market.
- Data: MBA mortgages Oct 25 (0700ET), ADP employment Oct (0815ET), GDP/PCE Q3 advance (0830ET), Pending home sales Sep (1000ET)
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $64B 17W Bill auction (1130ET)
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