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US vs Germany widest since December 2019

BONDS
  • Bund is taking another leg higher and an extension to 132.79 would represent a full US CPI reversal, although the contract did print a 132.86 on that day (Wednesday).
  • US Tnote is so far fairly unmoved, as desks favours for the ECB to be the first in cutting their rates.
  • TYM4 would require a test all the way to 109.22+ to unwind the US CPI sell off.
  • Price action in Futures means that the Tnotes/Bund is seeing further widening, by another 3.4bps today.
  • The spread is now at its widest level since December 2019, and the next upside resistance will be seen at 220.5bps, the November 2019 high, and the widest print since early October 2019.

Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg.

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