Free Trial

USD/CNH Stops Short Of Fresh Test Above 7.1900, CNY NEER To Fresh Lows

CNH

USD/CNH spent most of the post Asia close drifting higher, although the pair didn't breach the 7.1900 handle in NY trade. We pulled back to 7.1820/30 by the close, as USD indices moved off session highs. CNH lost 0.26% for Tuesday's session.

  • USD/CNY closed above 7.1800, while the 4:30pm level (the input into the CNY fix for today) was 7.1744, a fresh high back to Nov 2022. The CNY NEER (J.P. Morgan index) is now back to 121.00, fresh lows back to May 2022.
  • In US trade on Tuesday, the Golden Dragon index lost 4.90%, the sharpest single day drop since March 9 of this year. US markets were closed on Monday, so part of this move likely reflects some catch up.
  • Still, broader China related asset sentiment has been left disappointed around stimulus plans. The 5yr LPR was cut by 10bps yesterday, but some had been looking for a 15bps cut. We also continue to see sell-side names curbing 2023 growth expectations as well.
  • The local data calendar is quiet until industrial profits print on the 28th of June (next Wed), but most focus will rest on the official PMIs for June out on the 30th (next Friday).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.