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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
USD/CNY drove options volumes higher last...>
OPTIONS: USD/CNY drove options volumes higher last week but, while options
volumes are still higher, it's USD/INR, AUD/JPY and USD/TWD hedging activity
that's driving the FX options market so far Monday.
-TWD's persistent weakness prompted USD/TWD to hit the highest level since early
2017 Monday, with markets already hedging for further weakness. Close to $2.50
have been bought in USD/TWD call options for every $1 in puts so far today. Call
strikes at 31.90 and 32.10 have been particularly popular, levels that spot
hasn't traded at since the early months of 2017.
-INR hedging trades have surged following exit polls over the weekend showing
incumbent PM Modi is on track to secure another 5 year term. USD/INR options
volumes have traded at multiples of the daily average, although activity has
been heavily biased toward USD/INR calls, despite the INR strength seen in spot
markets. Some of the larger trades include a $250mln 72.00 call rolling off at
the end of May as well as a $260mln 71.00/71.70 call spread rolling off on June
25th. This mirrors the recovery in USD/INR risk reversals so far Monday, which
gapped lower at the open but have since pulled back much of the losses.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.