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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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MNI FOMC Hawk-Dove Spectrum
CNH Underperforms USD dip
USD/CNH briefly dipped sub 6.7400 before support emerged. This was fresh lows back to this time last week. CNH did underperform broader USD softness though. USD/CNH is just above 6.7450 currently. Beyond the high 6.7300 region, 6.7200 could be the next downside target. Also note that 6.7129 is the 50-day MA. On the topside, selling interest should still be seen between 6.7700/6.7800.
- There are no major data releases today, with the next major release not scheduled until this coming Sunday, when official PMIs print.
- The focus is likely to rest on the Biden/Xi call which will take place today. There is still no clarity on whether US House Speaker Pelosi's trip to Taiwan will actually take place.
- The Golden Dragon index rose 1.7% overnight in US trading, in line with broad based equity gains, although delisting risk remains, with US-China authorities not yet reaching an agreement around auditing of China listed companies.
- Onshore China media reports that there is a low chance of a further drop in short-term interest rates. Short term rates have been declining amid a system flush with liquidity.
- In any event, 2yr US-CH government bond yield spreads have not been moving in favor of the USD. We are back to around +80bps, down from recent highs above +100bps.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.