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USD/HKD Spot Back To Mid August Lows, US-HK Yield Differentials Continue To Track Lower

HKD

Spot USD/HKD sits back at 7.8315, which is above session lows (7.8283), but maintains the recent track lower in the pair. We are now back close to mid August levels. The pair has breached the 20-EMA (back near 7.8355), while current levels are right on the 200-day EMA. Note the 50 and 100-day EMAs sit close to 7.8300.

  • A firmer HKD spot backdrop continues to be underpinned by firmer Hibor fixings. The 1 month rose 33bps to 4.62%, while the 3 month set near 4.82%, +16.5bps. The US-HK 3 month yield differential continues to track lower, last near +59bps, we were near +100bps back in late August.
  • In the forward space, the 12 month outright is back sub 7.7800, against recent highs just above 7.7850. The 6 month is back under 7.8000. Spot continues to exhibit volatility compared to the outright forwards.
  • The 1 month risk reversal remains within recent ranges, last near -0.36.

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